NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	106		Excitement	10.1 [69]		MVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): +26.2%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	24.3 [84]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -21.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.26	0.03	0.24	0.01	15	59%	0.38	4	-0.12	11	82%	0.10
Malik Allen	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	3	89%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ben Gordon	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.02	19	52%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.07	-0.01	7	27%	0.02	1	-0.04	8	50%	0.01
Andre Barrett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	18	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	0.06	-0.11	0.09	12	73%	0.09	6	-0.22	9	78%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	8	76%	0.22	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.02	0.01	15	68%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.13	0.15	-0.04	13	34%	0.18	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.04
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	13	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.12
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	11	32%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.21	-0.21	0.01	-0.22	0.00	21	52%	-0.06	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	481.3	1.8	28.5	15.0	31.2	2.4	32.3	1.5	17.0	611.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -12.7%

CHI +36.1%

CHI +18.6%

ATL -0.4%

CHI +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	16.3	15.4	102.9	99.0	104.5
season	14.5	16.1		103.1	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.9		106.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	17.0	12.7	15.0	14.1	11.4	14.3
ATL	15.7	14.9	16.9	17.4	17.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	76	77	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.53	6	-4	10	14.4	13.9	0.56	16.7	15.2	1.52
Ben Gordon	75	76	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.48	7	-5	12	13.1	17.4	-4.25	16.2	16.6	-0.45
Kirk Hinrich	85	87	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.47	3	-1	4	14.6	12.6	2.00	16.3	16.2	0.09
Ben Wallace	96	97	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	3	-4	14.5	11.0	3.50	16.4	15.5	0.86
Luol Deng	89	89	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.42	-4	6	-10	14.2	14.9	-0.77	16.0	18.1	-2.16
Tyrus Thomas	19	21	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	-4	10	14.1	14.3	-0.26	16.6	16.2	0.35
Andre Barrett	11	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	7	-12	14.7	14.2	0.52	15.8	16.3	-0.55
Adrian Griffin	35	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.09	-1	3	-4	15.7	13.5	2.24	16.6	16.1	0.55
Malik Allen	29	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	3	-4	13.6	14.5	-0.99	15.8	16.5	-0.65

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	30	31	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.29	3	-5	8	16.6	16.2	0.43	15.2	13.9	1.29
Royal Ivey	22	19	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-5	8	15.4	16.5	-1.18	14.7	14.2	0.58
Shelden Williams	37	32	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	0	-2	15.6	16.6	-1.00	12.6	15.0	-2.47
Salim Stoudamire	50	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-3	4	15.7	16.8	-1.14	13.1	15.2	-2.05
Zaza Pachulia	50	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-4	6	17.3	15.4	1.84	15.2	13.4	1.80
Josh Smith	83	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-3	4	16.6	15.1	1.47	14.9	11.4	3.55
Speedy Claxton	79	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	2	-6	16.3	16.2	0.09	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Marvin Williams	87	85	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.53	-1	-1	0	15.9	18.1	-2.19	14.0	15.5	-1.50
Joe Johnson	87	86	-1.02	0.52	-1.55	-0.64	-13	11	-24	16.6	15.1	1.50	14.2	14.6	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.76,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.73,0.46,0.53,0.79,0.9,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.27,0	87.5%
POR 104, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.98,0.85,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.83,0.31,0	86.5%
SEA 101, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.58,0	86.3%