NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	8.7 [170]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +32.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	100		Comeback	4.5 [228]		LVP	Adam Morrison (CHA): -19.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.07,0.22	0.20	0.03	0.01	20	71%	0.37	2	-0.15	9	100%	0.09
Gerald Green	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	4	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	21	49%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.04	0.03	-0.08	0.00	9	64%	0.14	2	-0.18	4	100%	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.02	-0.00	10	39%	0.02	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.04

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32	0.32	0.15	0.17	0.00	19	65%	0.42	2	-0.10	10	90%	0.05
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.01	-0.03	13	59%	0.14	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	10	44%	0.01	6	-0.18	7	57%	-0.04
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.12	0.01	7	21%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,-0.03,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.17	-0.01	17	42%	-0.03	2	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.0	27.2	15.4	29.2	1.8	37.2	138.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +24.6%

CHA -0.0%

BOS +20.8%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.4	116.5	105.3	104.5
season	15.5	15.7		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.6	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.9	15.2	17.3	15.2	15.4
CHA	16.6	15.5	14.8	15.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	74	76	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.30	21	-15	36	15.1	16.5	-1.35	16.2	13.0	3.24
Al Jefferson	73	74	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.33	15	-9	24	15.8	13.5	2.34	16.0	14.1	1.86
Brian Scalabrine	76	80	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.27	15	-9	24	15.1	16.9	-1.79	16.1	13.1	3.00
Tony Allen	71	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.6	18.1	-3.56	15.7	14.9	0.80
Sebastian Telfair	44	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	-7	20	14.0	16.6	-2.62	16.4	14.8	1.57
Delonte West	49	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.34	-6	12	-18	16.0	14.6	1.36	14.7	16.6	-1.96
Gerald Green	20	20	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.02	-8	14	-22	18.7	14.4	4.26	14.0	16.0	-2.01
Wally Szczerbiak	28	30	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.03	-12	18	-30	15.9	15.1	0.80	14.2	16.2	-2.03
Leon Powe	20	22	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.04	-14	20	-34	15.8	15.2	0.61	13.5	16.2	-2.78

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	48	44	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.05	11	-17	28	15.4	15.8	-0.43	16.4	14.4	1.96
Sean May	21	20	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.06	9	-15	24	15.0	15.7	-0.70	14.8	15.5	-0.74
Matt Carroll	31	29	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	-4	2	14.2	16.3	-2.12	15.8	15.2	0.57
Adam Morrison	72	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-11	16	15.5	15.8	-0.31	15.5	14.8	0.67
Derek Anderson	70	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	1	-8	15.5	15.8	-0.34	14.9	16.7	-1.80
Raymond Felton	73	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.32	-11	5	-16	15.8	14.9	0.89	15.5	15.0	0.48
Emeka Okafor	79	76	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.26	-17	11	-28	16.0	13.6	2.44	15.1	16.5	-1.39
Gerald Wallace	81	78	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.31	-18	12	-30	16.0	13.4	2.53	15.2	16.3	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 88, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.47,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.14,0.42,0	89.7%
DET 85, NJN 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.09,0	88.7%
NYK 83, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.63,0.22,0.31,0	88.6%