NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	85		Excitement	6.7 [494]		MVP	Ime Udoka (POR): +26.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	79		Comeback	1.4 [408]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -27.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ime Udoka	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.26	0.09	0.16	-0.01	9	75%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.13	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	16	50%	0.16	4	-0.12	10	90%	0.04
Joel Przybilla	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	6	57%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.13	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.20	4	75%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.13	0.01	2	75%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.08
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	16	61%	0.09	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.09	-0.01	13	54%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.13	-0.13	0.08	-0.20	0.00	10	70%	0.14	1	-0.26	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.27	-0.27	-0.07	-0.18	0.01	13	44%	-0.15	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.6	29.2	14.8	28.0	3.0	43.2	148.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +55.4%

POR +0.2%

MEM -38.0%

POR +25.2%

POR +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	18.1	16.0	15.4	101.2	92.9	104.5
season	16.7	15.1		103.1	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.4		110.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.3	18.6	19.8	17.6	18.1
MEM	17.1	14.8	16.2	15.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	69	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-5	16	17.9	18.7	-0.81	16.9	12.1	4.80
Joel Przybilla	39	36	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.54	0	6	-6	17.6	18.5	-0.90	17.9	14.6	3.33
Ime Udoka	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	2	2	18.4	17.0	1.36	17.0	12.5	4.50
Juan Dixon	55	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	1	4	18.5	17.2	1.37	15.1	18.1	-3.01
Travis Outlaw	31	32	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	7	-8	17.5	18.4	-0.98	12.5	18.1	-5.60
Zach Randolph	55	60	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.35	17	-11	28	17.1	19.9	-2.84	17.3	12.9	4.45
Martell Webster	29	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	5	-4	17.2	18.5	-1.37	18.1	15.1	3.01
Dan Dickau	9	9	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	7	-8	20.0	17.8	2.16	14.1	16.2	-2.14
Raef LaFrentz	6	6	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	7	-8	20.0	17.9	2.08	16.7	16.0	0.69
LaMarcus Aldridge	10	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	18.6	18.0	0.60	9.9	16.7	-6.86
Sergio Rodriguez	6	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	8	-10	16.8	18.2	-1.33	9.0	16.6	-7.56
Jamaal Magloire	45	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.05	-1	7	-8	19.3	16.6	2.67	14.9	17.3	-2.42

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexander Johnson	32	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.44	13	-19	32	16.6	15.7	0.86	17.4	18.5	-1.12
Brian Cardinal	13	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-2	-2	11.8	16.8	-4.93	19.2	17.9	1.37
Jake Tsakalidis	18	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-4	2	16.4	15.9	0.53	19.2	17.8	1.38
Chucky Atkins	50	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-8	10	14.3	18.5	-4.28	18.7	17.2	1.45
Damon Stoudamire	63	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.30	3	-9	12	16.4	14.8	1.63	18.1	18.1	-0.02
Eddie Jones	11	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	5	-16	17.3	15.8	1.43	18.9	17.9	0.96
Rudy Gay	47	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-8	10	14.4	18.1	-3.67	18.2	17.9	0.23
Hakim Warrick	34	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	7	-20	16.3	15.8	0.45	17.5	18.5	-1.01
Mike Miller	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-11	16	15.7	17.5	-1.75	17.9	18.7	-0.77
Dahntay Jones	35	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	8	-22	18.4	14.3	4.09	17.7	18.3	-0.57
Stromile Swift	52	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	5	-16	17.6	13.5	4.10	17.8	18.5	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.23,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0	92.6%
SEA 100, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.13,0.24,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.42,0	92.3%
BOS 102, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.42,0	92.1%