NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	7.1 [429]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (BOS): +11.7%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	1.3 [1128]		LVP	Jared Sullinger (BOS): -14.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	10	80%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	90%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	20	55%	0.12	4	-0.11	11	91%	-0.00
Terry Rozier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01	-0.04	0.06	0.01	7	45%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.04
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	16	42%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	8	25%	-0.06	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	3	150%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	47%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	59%	0.03	5	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	17	45%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	20	48%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.13	0.01	16	49%	-0.11	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	27.2	16.4	26.6	2.4	36.6	138.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.4%

BOS +8.5%

BOS +5.1%

BOS +3.7%

PHX -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	14.9	102.0	99.0	105.1
season	13.9	14.4		104.5	100.9
opponent	14.4	15.0		107.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.2	17.7	13.8	15.0	14.8
PHX	14.5	12.3	13.3	15.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	49	50	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-9	21	15.8	14.0	1.79	14.9	13.1	1.80
Marcus Smart	65	67	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-4	11	15.4	13.7	1.69	14.1	13.6	0.48
Evan Turner	75	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	2	-1	14.9	14.7	0.16	13.3	16.1	-2.85
Isaiah Thomas	68	68	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	-2	7	13.9	16.7	-2.81	14.9	11.9	3.07
Avery Bradley	66	66	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	8	-13	14.5	15.5	-0.96	14.0	13.8	0.25
Terry Rozier	29	28	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	-1	5	15.3	14.6	0.66	12.4	14.6	-2.18
Kelly Olynyk	44	46	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	-3	9	15.5	14.3	1.22	14.2	13.7	0.52
Jared Sullinger	48	45	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	3	-3	15.0	14.7	0.39	14.0	13.9	0.15
Amir Johnson	56	54	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.41	-15	18	-33	13.8	16.1	-2.31	13.1	15.0	-1.97

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	61	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.35	8	-11	19	12.9	15.6	-2.63	15.0	14.5	0.52
Devin Booker	70	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.45	9	-12	21	13.8	14.4	-0.63	15.1	14.1	0.97
John Jenkins	34	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	3	-9	14.7	13.6	1.17	15.1	14.7	0.42
Brandon Knight	81	81	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-5	7	14.1	13.4	0.67	14.1	18.2	-4.10
Mirza Teletovic	68	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-7	11	14.3	13.3	0.95	13.9	16.7	-2.77
Archie Goodwin	30	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	9	-21	12.1	14.8	-2.70	15.6	14.5	1.13
PJ Tucker	79	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-6	9	14.5	11.8	2.78	14.5	16.2	-1.71
Chase Budinger	35	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	6	-15	14.5	13.7	0.76	16.3	14.1	2.16
Ronnie Price	42	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	11	-25	14.2	13.8	0.48	15.8	14.2	1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, LAL 92	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.42,0	93.1%
NJN 103, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.17,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.15,0	92.8%
PHI 94, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0	92.6%