NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	9.5 [103]		MVP	Shelden Williams (ATL): +28.4%
Denver Nuggets	96		Comeback	37.2 [10]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -31.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelden Williams	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.28	0.04	0.25	0.01	3	64%	0.28	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.2	0.09	0.15	0.05	15	62%	0.27	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Royal Ivey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Bozeman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	68%	0.05	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.15,0.09,0.09,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	18	61%	0.18	8	-0.22	8	87%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Freije	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	7	21%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.07	0.02	16	44%	-0.05	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	9	48%	0.10	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.05
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	5	0%	-0.06
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	46%	-0.02	3	-0.07	9	22%	-0.17
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21	-0.21	-0.02	-0.19	-0.00	9	50%	-0.08	2	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	4	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.31	-0.31	-0.10	-0.22	-0.00	27	43%	-0.18	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.8	29.6	15.6	29.7	2.7	34.1	142.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +28.5%

ATL +44.9%

DEN -26.7%

ATL +2.9%

ATL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DEN	NBA	ATL	DEN	NBA
this game	17.3	12.6	15.4	103.2	98.0	104.5
season	16.1	14.0		101.1	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.5	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.5	16.7	20.1	14.2	17.3
DEN	12.2	12.1	11.2	14.6	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	37	40	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.47	12	-10	22	15.7	18.3	-2.60	14.0	11.7	2.32
Tyronn Lue	80	81	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.42	13	-11	24	17.4	16.8	0.61	12.7	12.1	0.66
Salim Stoudamire	76	77	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-7	16	16.1	22.3	-6.25	12.4	13.2	-0.75
Josh Smith	79	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.59	-1	3	-4	17.8	15.0	2.78	12.9	11.1	1.84
Joe Johnson	87	90	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	2	-2	17.4	16.0	1.44	12.7	11.1	1.61
Royal Ivey	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	6	-10	16.8	17.4	-0.58	12.5	12.6	-0.11
Cedric Bozeman	4	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	4	-6	19.5	17.2	2.28	18.2	12.4	5.89
Matt Freije	26	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.22	6	-4	10	16.6	17.6	-1.02	11.3	13.2	-1.88
Lorenzen Wright	42	42	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	6	-10	18.4	16.5	1.87	11.5	13.4	-1.93
Solomon Jones	34	35	-0.55	1.05	-1.59	0.01	-19	21	-40	19.4	16.2	3.22	11.9	13.0	-1.11

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yakhouba Diawara	45	44	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-4	6	11.2	13.8	-2.55	16.3	18.2	-1.86
Reggie Evans	49	47	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.14	-4	2	-6	12.9	12.3	0.51	15.5	19.1	-3.66
J.R. Smith	51	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-10	18	13.2	11.9	1.28	20.1	14.4	5.67
Linas Kleiza	25	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	6	-14	11.8	12.9	-1.13	15.8	17.9	-2.08
Earl Boykins	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	6	-14	12.2	13.0	-0.78	14.9	20.2	-5.29
Andre Miller	75	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.59	10	-12	22	13.0	11.3	1.64	18.8	12.8	6.00
Marcus Camby	74	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.57	9	-11	20	12.9	11.5	1.40	17.7	16.3	1.41
Eduardo Najera	48	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-1	0	12.2	12.9	-0.69	19.4	15.2	4.22
Carmelo Anthony	70	69	-1.02	0.52	-1.54	-0.49	-18	16	-34	12.9	11.9	1.04	16.2	20.2	-3.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.46,0.68,0.57,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 82, NOH 77	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.75,0.58,0	91.2%
POR 92, UTA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.42,0	89.3%
PHI 101, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.73,0	89.2%