NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	5.5 [740]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +15.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	88		Comeback	1.5 [474]		LVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): -12.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	13	67%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Ronny Turiaf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	44%	0.01	3	-0.05	6	17%	-0.05
Luke Walton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	6	36%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	0.01	0.04	23	54%	0.11	7	-0.18	8	87%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.02	11	71%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.10	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	15	47%	-0.02	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	16	47%	0.01	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	7	19%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	26.4	17.3	23.3	2.5	34.4	131.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +53.2%

LAC -14.2%

LAC -7.3%

LAL +15.9%

LAL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.4	103.2	94.6	104.5
season	15.3	15.7		106.3	103.3
opponent	15.4	14.9		103.6	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	15.5	14.9	17.9	15.7
LAC	13.2	17.3	17.0	13.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	33	31	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-3	15	16.7	15.1	1.60	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Kwame Brown	68	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	-1	11	15.7	15.8	-0.11	15.0	15.3	-0.28
Lamar Odom	62	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	3	3	15.0	17.1	-2.08	15.2	14.8	0.40
Sasha Vujacic	17	16	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	0	9	16.8	15.4	1.38	16.6	14.8	1.76
Vladimir Radmanovic	21	20	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	2	5	18.8	14.8	3.95	15.1	15.1	0.05
Jordan Farmar	24	25	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	1	7	17.0	15.3	1.70	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Kobe Bryant	78	79	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	7	-5	15.4	17.2	-1.80	14.9	16.4	-1.47
Luke Walton	62	61	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.05	3	6	-3	14.6	17.8	-3.26	15.6	14.2	1.36
Smush Parker	69	66	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	10	-11	15.3	16.7	-1.40	15.2	15.0	0.20
Andrew Bynum	21	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	15	-21	16.0	15.6	0.46	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Ronny Turiaf	15	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	14	-19	16.3	15.6	0.68	15.2	15.1	0.17

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	18	19	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.09	7	-16	23	16.0	14.9	1.11	14.6	16.0	-1.33
Quinton Ross	38	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.15	-6	-3	-3	17.8	13.2	4.58	14.1	16.8	-2.68
James Singleton	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-7	5	14.0	15.2	-1.23	17.2	15.5	1.69
Cuttino Mobley	77	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-11	13	14.4	18.3	-3.87	16.0	14.4	1.63
Elton Brand	78	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-11	13	15.1	15.2	-0.11	15.4	17.1	-1.65
Sam Cassell	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-4	-1	15.7	13.7	2.02	14.7	18.1	-3.39
Tim Thomas	27	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	14.1	15.5	-1.40	16.6	15.3	1.30
Corey Maggette	48	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	1	-11	14.4	15.9	-1.56	16.6	14.7	1.84
Shaun Livingston	52	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	2	-13	13.7	16.9	-3.21	17.1	13.7	3.42
Chris Kaman	51	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	6	-21	15.9	14.1	1.85	15.4	16.0	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0	94.5%
BOS 98, ORL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
IND 93, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%