inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 106 Excitement4.1 [1005] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +16.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves 92 Comeback1.1 [704] LVPKevin Garnett (MIN): -20.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.170,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.160.040.032466%0.193-0.025100%0.02
Eduardo Najera0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.011158%0.081-0.022100%0.00
Andre Miller0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001461%0.073-0.0500%0.00
Marcus Camby0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.02856%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Linas Kleiza0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.00-0.06933%0.012-0.02333%0.01
Earl Boykins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.00-0.071231%-0.012-0.022100%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith-0.040,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.010.031450%0.012-0.062100%0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.120.000.061177%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.010.041458%0.081-0.038100%0.03
Marko Jaric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.030.01950%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.03743%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Craig Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.04757%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.100.00-0.06833%-0.023-0.012100%0.01
Eddie Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00729%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.11-0.060.032050%-0.077-0.13250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.51.725.616.325.41.826.0120.2
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +28.9%
DEN +2.4%
DEN +10.1%
DEN +7.5%
DEN +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game14.714.815.4109.393.9104.5
season14.015.4105.8101.9
opponent15.615.3105.8104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.113.112.420.014.7
MIN14.715.115.813.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony86870.450.050.390.061311214.715.4-0.7014.914.40.49
J.R. Smith61610.390.110.28-0.1418-42213.516.9-3.4114.814.70.11
Reggie Evans65660.380.120.250.031221015.413.32.0914.914.70.21
Andre Miller71690.300.200.110.25212-1015.911.54.4814.316.1-1.81
Marcus Camby62630.290.210.07-0.04113813.417.1-3.7614.914.60.35
Eduardo Najera64630.280.210.070.17410-615.413.51.8614.715.0-0.27
Earl Boykins54560.250.25-0.000.1059-415.913.22.7114.615.1-0.52
Yakhouba Diawara19210.110.39-0.27-0.00410-611.315.6-4.3316.814.22.56
Linas Kleiza340.050.45-0.400.02113-1214.314.8-0.4213.214.9-1.61

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Madsen330.00-0.500.50-0.031-151611.314.9-3.5722.714.58.18
Eddie Griffin1414-0.02-0.480.470.04-2-121016.414.51.8212.415.1-2.70
Troy Hudson88-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-131214.214.8-0.5917.714.53.28
Justin Reed1414-0.06-0.440.370.05-4-10613.615.0-1.4315.614.61.05
Randy Foye4745-0.17-0.330.150.12-10-4-615.014.60.3113.915.5-1.55
Craig Smith4643-0.18-0.320.15-0.09-3-11814.714.9-0.1914.914.60.30
Trenton Hassell5758-0.21-0.290.09-0.241-151614.814.8-0.0615.413.81.54
Marko Jaric3533-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-5-414.914.80.1014.614.8-0.21
Mike James5657-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.24-3-11814.715.0-0.2714.914.50.45
Mark Blount5253-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.01-13-1-1214.714.9-0.1814.315.3-1.01
Kevin Garnett8181-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.09-11-3-814.814.9-0.1815.113.11.94
Ricky Davis7776-0.44-0.06-0.380.03-162-1815.113.91.1914.216.7-2.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 112, ORL 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
SAS 111, DEN 920.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.24,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
WAS 99, CHI 740.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%