NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	87		Excitement	4.6 [903]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +11.1%
New Jersey Nets	100		Comeback	1.3 [1050]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): -10.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	20	62%	0.19	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damir Markota	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris McCray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	19	53%	0.08	5	-0.10	9	89%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.05	7	79%	0.08	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.02	14	78%	0.16	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	6	75%	0.16	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	11	79%	0.16	5	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Antoine Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.01
Hassan Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mile Ilic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	15	44%	0.02	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.8	25.7	14.8	31.9	1.8	27.6	133.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +39.1%

MIL -3.2%

NJN +11.6%

NJN +2.0%

NJN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	15.4	89.7	101.0	104.5
season	15.2	15.4		105.3	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	16.2	14.1	15.0	15.0
NJN	12.4	13.8	14.7	17.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damir Markota	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	14.0	15.0	-1.00	21.5	14.3	7.24
Chris McCray	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	14.0	15.0	-1.00	21.5	14.3	7.24
David Noel	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	14.0	15.0	-1.00	21.5	14.3	7.24
Steve Blake	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	12.4	15.3	-2.89	12.1	14.7	-2.60
Brian Skinner	43	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-11	9	15.0	15.0	0.06	13.5	15.1	-1.59
Michael Redd	81	83	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-12	11	15.1	14.6	0.44	14.4	14.4	0.03
Dan Gadzuric	39	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-4	-5	14.6	15.2	-0.63	13.7	14.9	-1.17
Andrew Bogut	52	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	15.5	14.4	1.06	15.3	13.4	1.85
Ersan Ilyasova	45	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-2	-9	14.8	15.2	-0.40	13.3	15.4	-2.14
Mo Williams	79	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-4	-5	15.4	13.3	2.10	14.6	13.5	1.15
Ruben Patterson	66	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	3	-19	14.8	15.3	-0.44	15.2	12.8	2.41
Charlie Bell	67	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-3	-7	15.0	15.0	-0.06	14.2	14.9	-0.73

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	75	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	-8	29	14.7	13.4	1.36	15.7	12.6	3.12
Vince Carter	77	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	4	5	14.3	14.8	-0.53	14.7	15.9	-1.19
Clifford Robinson	52	50	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	4	5	13.7	15.2	-1.46	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Nenad Krstic	65	65	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	8	-3	14.7	13.9	0.84	15.4	14.2	1.24
Antoine Wright	82	79	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	7	-1	14.2	15.2	-1.00	14.2	18.3	-4.11
Jason Collins	62	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	2	9	14.7	13.8	0.90	15.3	14.5	0.80
Marcus Williams	44	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	11	-9	14.1	14.6	-0.48	15.4	14.7	0.73
Bostjan Nachbar	34	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	11	-9	13.8	14.7	-0.97	14.8	15.1	-0.21
Hassan Adams	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	21.5	14.3	7.24	14.0	15.0	-1.00
Mile Ilic	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	21.5	14.3	7.24	14.0	15.0	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 90, SEA 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SEA 81, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
IND 94, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%