NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	7.2 [411]		MVP	Andris Biedrins (GSW): +21.5%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	2.4 [709]		LVP	Keith McLeod (GSW): -9.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	13	61%	0.22	7	-0.18	12	92%	0.05
Jorge Garbajosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	11	58%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	0.00	14	48%	0.03	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Jones	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.01	5	87%	0.24	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.05	0.11	-0.05	24	42%	0.18	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	13	47%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	15	42%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.04	0.04	17	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	10	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.6	25.0	15.4	24.5	2.3	26.8	124.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +29.3%

TOR -5.9%

GSW +8.7%

GSW +16.4%

GSW +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	GSW	NBA	TOR	GSW	NBA
this game	13.5	15.6	15.4	100.0	111.1	104.5
season	15.2	13.5		104.7	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		105.7	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.2	11.8	14.2	13.8	13.5
GSW	15.8	17.0	14.6	15.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	17	14	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.02	4	-15	19	12.4	13.7	-1.39	15.2	15.6	-0.43
PJ Tucker	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	3.7	13.8	-10.15	18.3	15.5	2.83
Andrea Bargnani	24	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-8	5	13.6	13.5	0.10	17.1	15.1	2.05
Jose Calderon	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-11	11	14.1	13.3	0.81	14.8	15.9	-1.07
Morris Peterson	41	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-10	9	12.8	14.0	-1.20	15.9	15.4	0.49
Jorge Garbajosa	52	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-13	15	13.2	13.9	-0.66	14.8	16.4	-1.59
Rasho Nesterovic	20	20	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-1	-9	15.9	12.9	3.00	13.6	16.1	-2.49
Fred Jones	74	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	13.6	13.3	0.25	15.3	16.6	-1.32
T.J. Ford	69	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	0	-11	13.3	14.1	-0.81	15.9	14.8	1.07
Chris Bosh	91	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	0	-11	13.8	10.2	3.54	15.8	12.7	3.09
Anthony Parker	74	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.17	-16	5	-21	13.7	13.0	0.73	15.9	14.5	1.49

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	55	55	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.12	24	-13	37	15.1	16.2	-1.11	14.4	12.4	1.97
Andris Biedrins	49	50	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.06	23	-12	35	14.3	16.8	-2.45	15.5	11.4	4.11
Mickael Pietrus	80	80	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	0	11	15.9	14.3	1.64	13.3	14.3	-1.00
Baron Davis	93	92	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	1	9	15.6	15.8	-0.26	13.4	14.6	-1.15
Mike Dunleavy	71	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	7	-3	15.5	15.9	-0.43	13.2	14.3	-1.09
Jason Richardson	76	75	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	4	3	15.3	16.6	-1.28	13.1	14.8	-1.75
Adonal Foyle	10	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	11	-11	17.4	15.4	2.02	11.0	13.8	-2.76
Keith McLeod	16	18	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	10	-9	14.9	15.7	-0.85	13.8	13.4	0.33
Matt Barnes	11	12	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.08	-12	23	-35	20.0	15.0	4.97	12.7	13.6	-0.95
Anthony Roberson	34	33	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.07	-13	24	-37	16.8	15.0	1.80	12.1	14.2	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.52,0.4,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.74,0.81,0.91,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.53,0.79,0.65,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.91,1,1	93.0%
CLE 76, MIA 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.23,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,1	92.3%
LAC 92, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.87,0.96,1,1,1,1	92.1%