inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 76 Excitement3.1 [1169] MVPYao Ming (HOU): +21.9%
Houston Rockets 107 Comeback1.0 [655] LVPJason Terry (DAL): -10.2%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Johnson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.01-0.005110%0.132-0.0400%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.031862%0.092-0.053100%0.01
Josh Howard0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.02-0.00-0.021355%0.042-0.00367%-0.00
Maurice Ager0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Devin Harris-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01440%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02744%-0.012-0.014100%0.01
DeSagana Diop-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01175%0.033-0.06250%-0.01
Austin Croshere-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.02520%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Greg Buckner-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.000.02527%-0.051-0.011100%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.120.00-0.03325%-0.024-0.0620%-0.02
Jason Terry-0.100,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.14-0.00-0.0458%-0.063-0.04250%-0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Yao Ming0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.200.050.031682%0.284-0.0612100%0.04
Rafer Alston0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.000.021064%0.0600.002100%0.01
Kirk Snyder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00667%0.071-0.026100%0.01
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.002125%0.0410.0000%0.00
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.130.000.10894%0.063-0.032100%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.04633%0.0200.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vassilis Spanoulis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02171%0.0010.00560%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.021100%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.01-0.031132%-0.011-0.0230%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.72.032.016.627.51.832.0137.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +29.2%
HOU +9.2%
DAL -6.9%
HOU +14.3%
HOU +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALHOUNBADALHOUNBA
this game16.615.415.484.4118.9104.5
season16.315.6108.7103.6
opponent15.715.299.2102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.716.217.716.116.6
HOU14.716.516.614.015.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Ager14150.00-0.500.500.15-5-262114.617.0-2.3614.215.6-1.40
Jose Juan Barea560.00-0.500.500.15-5-262113.816.8-3.0012.015.6-3.61
Devin Harris2525-0.07-0.430.360.22-10-211115.017.2-2.2114.615.7-1.06
Austin Croshere3132-0.07-0.430.35-0.02-2-292717.016.50.5114.715.7-1.01
Jerry Stackhouse4647-0.09-0.410.330.09-6-251917.016.20.8415.615.10.43
Erick Dampier4345-0.21-0.290.07-0.01-7-241715.817.4-1.5715.215.6-0.38
Jason Terry4851-0.22-0.280.050.01-8-231517.515.71.8116.513.92.64
Anthony Johnson3836-0.24-0.260.020.20-15-16116.516.7-0.1915.215.4-0.19
DeSagana Diop3330-0.26-0.24-0.030.26-18-13-518.415.62.8316.414.91.50
Greg Buckner4442-0.32-0.18-0.140.27-20-11-915.717.5-1.7715.215.5-0.38
Dirk Nowitzki6362-0.44-0.06-0.370.33-26-5-2116.716.50.1615.714.61.10
Josh Howard6059-0.570.07-0.650.39-332-3517.115.71.4515.016.0-1.02

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rafer Alston72740.56-0.060.61-0.4434-33715.017.0-2.0417.114.52.59
Shane Battier62630.53-0.030.55-0.031912715.415.30.0716.317.4-1.16
Yao Ming65680.460.040.41-0.423012915.814.21.6717.115.21.86
Tracy McGrady41440.280.220.05-0.021021-1115.515.30.1816.616.7-0.08
Luther Head39400.240.26-0.02-0.492561915.115.6-0.5115.817.3-1.41
Charles Hayes31330.180.32-0.13-0.291615115.815.10.7216.916.50.48
Bonzi Wells24220.180.32-0.140.06427-2316.614.91.7218.016.21.81
Kirk Snyder59560.080.42-0.34-0.301318-515.016.1-1.1116.616.7-0.16
Dikembe Mutombo19170.050.45-0.40-0.07427-2313.715.8-2.0715.916.8-0.85
Vassilis Spanoulis1080.000.50-0.50-0.03130-2915.415.40.0413.417.0-3.58
Juwan Howard65-0.010.51-0.510.08-334-3715.515.40.1412.816.9-4.06
Steve Novak2220-0.040.54-0.58-0.10229-2716.015.20.7817.116.50.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 73, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
MIA 73, DET 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
CHA 101, DEN 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%