NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	5.3 [786]		MVP	Ronny Turiaf (LAL): +12.0%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	1.4 [287]		LVP	Baron Davis (GSW): -13.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronny Turiaf	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	10	72%	0.16	3	-0.04	12	58%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	14	63%	0.12	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Luke Walton	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	11	58%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Shammond Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Smush Parker	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	35%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	42%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	4	73%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.11	-0.00	0.11	10	79%	0.08	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.05
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	19	38%	-0.06	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.7	31.1	15.6	32.1	2.7	30.0	143.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.4%

LAL +18.7%

LAL +20.3%

GSW -13.2%

GSW -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	13.4	15.4	108.9	98.0	104.5
season	15.3	13.5		106.3	105.7
opponent	15.2	14.9		105.7	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.6	13.3	15.2	16.8	15.2
GSW	12.1	14.3	14.8	12.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	66	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-1	14	15.1	15.5	-0.48	14.1	12.2	1.88
Smush Parker	48	48	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	1	10	14.9	15.5	-0.67	13.8	13.1	0.67
Maurice Evans	34	34	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	0	12	14.7	15.5	-0.74	14.5	12.8	1.68
Shammond Williams	48	46	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	7	-2	15.1	15.3	-0.24	13.5	13.3	0.19
Lamar Odom	68	68	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	11	-10	15.7	14.3	1.33	13.0	14.3	-1.36
Luke Walton	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	6	0	15.8	14.4	1.33	13.0	14.0	-0.95
Vladimir Radmanovic	52	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	8	-4	15.0	15.5	-0.55	13.4	13.4	-0.02
Brian Cook	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	7	-2	14.6	15.6	-1.04	13.7	13.3	0.41
Jordan Farmar	53	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	11	-10	15.5	14.9	0.67	13.1	13.8	-0.67
Andrew Bynum	23	23	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	11	-10	14.9	15.3	-0.41	12.6	13.7	-1.11
Sasha Vujacic	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	11	-10	16.4	15.0	1.38	11.9	13.7	-1.75

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick O'Bryant	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	10.9	13.7	-2.78	18.2	14.9	3.30
Matt Barnes	18	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-10	8	11.7	13.8	-2.07	15.6	15.1	0.50
Keith McLeod	10	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-10	8	13.5	13.4	0.09	15.5	15.2	0.25
Mickael Pietrus	50	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-12	12	12.6	14.3	-1.72	15.7	14.7	1.03
Anthony Roberson	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-11	10	12.6	13.8	-1.22	16.0	14.8	1.16
Ike Diogu	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-6	0	13.9	13.0	0.83	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Jason Richardson	56	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-4	-4	14.3	12.3	2.01	14.8	15.8	-1.09
Baron Davis	72	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	13.8	12.5	1.28	15.0	15.9	-0.97
Andris Biedrins	45	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-4	-4	14.3	12.7	1.58	13.7	16.4	-2.78
Troy Murphy	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-3	-6	13.7	13.1	0.67	15.6	14.8	0.87
Mike Dunleavy	56	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-1	-10	13.3	13.6	-0.31	15.5	14.9	0.56
Monta Ellis	49	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	-3	-6	13.0	13.8	-0.86	15.2	15.3	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 130, NOP 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
NJN 96, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	95.3%
GSW 108, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%