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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 93 Excitement8.1 [256] MVPRafer Alston (HOU): +27.5%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 92 Comeback3.3 [209] LVPKeith Bogans (HOU): -21.3%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rafer Alston0.280,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.280.070.240.031661%0.352-0.084100%0.00
Juwan Howard0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02780%0.133-0.076100%0.02
Richie Frahm0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.030.00550%0.0400.0000%0.00
Stromile Swift0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00367%0.082-0.08367%-0.00
Rick Brunson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yao Ming-0.000,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,00.00-0.01-0.011661%0.205-0.204100%0.03
Luther Head-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01944%0.053-0.1100%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.210,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.03-0.20-0.021154%-0.024-0.204100%0.03

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David West0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.040.011054%0.0700.006100%0.03
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00762%0.081-0.022100%0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00550%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.01-0.010.010.020.041150%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Linton Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00633%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.050.021443%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Marc Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.040.00325%-0.032-0.0920%-0.06
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.070.041346%-0.092-0.042100%0.01
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.05-0.120.001241%-0.092-0.073100%0.01
Kirk Snyder0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.10-0.090.011626%-0.2000.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.31.728.114.726.21.633.0135.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +113.2%
HOU +4.2%
NOK -21.6%
NOK -44.1%
NOK -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUNOKNBAHOUNOKNBA
this game14.316.015.697.996.8104.4
season16.116.399.9101.2
opponent15.316.1104.1101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.514.512.415.714.3
NOK15.515.518.914.316.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Howard75750.90-0.401.300.4316-153113.517.3-3.7715.318.5-3.24
Luther Head61620.79-0.291.070.529-81713.815.3-1.5515.916.2-0.39
Rafer Alston66690.60-0.100.690.513-2514.015.1-1.1716.115.80.30
Keith Bogans94940.470.030.450.4510114.316.0-1.6915.563.0-47.51
Yao Ming67670.150.34-0.190.33-67-1315.311.93.4517.113.23.93
Charles Hayes11-0.000.50-0.500.09-34-71.014.5-13.477.016.1-9.09
Stromile Swift4747-0.060.56-0.610.09-56-1114.414.20.2015.616.4-0.74
Rick Brunson3027-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-23-515.213.91.2317.515.42.14
Richie Frahm3433-0.290.79-1.07-0.05-89-1715.313.81.5516.215.90.39

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Smith2627-0.03-0.470.440.06-32-514.516.6-2.0513.614.6-1.03
Kirk Snyder4847-0.10-0.400.29-0.100-1118.213.74.5715.213.51.71
David West6060-0.12-0.380.26-0.358-91715.317.1-1.8314.813.41.42
Rasual Butler6364-0.16-0.340.18-0.377-81515.816.3-0.4414.713.51.20
Marc Jackson2829-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-65-1115.116.4-1.3013.514.7-1.16
Aaron Williams4142-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-43-716.315.70.6214.014.6-0.54
Linton Johnson3231-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.10-87-1516.315.80.4413.514.7-1.20
P.J. Brown6159-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.340-1116.814.52.3714.414.20.21
Chris Paul6765-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.443-4716.315.31.0014.514.00.53
Speedy Claxton4951-0.510.01-0.53-0.45-21-314.217.9-3.7713.715.0-1.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.59,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 88, NOH 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.45,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.53,0.26,092.1%
DAL 120, GSW 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.17,091.6%
NJN 90, MIA 890.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.41,090.8%