NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	7.1 [421]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +12.8%
Utah Jazz	107		Comeback	6.8 [362]		LVP	Brian Grant (PHX): -12.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	16	53%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	14	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	12	74%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	13	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	17	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Brian Grant	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	13	57%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.02	17	62%	0.22	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	18	56%	0.14	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.02	0.04	12	73%	0.14	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	9	41%	-0.02	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.0	28.2	19.4	26.4	3.3	35.6	140.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +55.8%

PHX -2.7%

UTA +22.2%

PHX -24.4%

PHX -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	13.6	16.9	15.6	105.3	112.6	104.4
season	13.8	17.0		110.2	101.7
opponent	15.0	16.1		104.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.8	13.3	13.4	14.9	13.6
UTA	16.0	18.0	16.0	17.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	19	19	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.02	6	-14	20	12.5	13.8	-1.29	18.3	16.6	1.76
James Jones	35	36	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-8	8	13.0	13.9	-0.88	17.1	16.8	0.24
Eddie House	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-10	12	12.9	13.8	-0.92	17.4	16.7	0.66
Boris Diaw	81	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-7	6	13.6	13.0	0.64	16.9	17.2	-0.38
Tim Thomas	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	-3	-2	13.8	13.4	0.37	16.4	17.2	-0.80
Raja Bell	71	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	0	-8	13.7	13.0	0.67	17.0	16.6	0.45
Steve Nash	70	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	2	-12	13.7	13.0	0.69	16.8	17.3	-0.51
Leandro Barbosa	56	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	0	-8	13.4	13.8	-0.48	17.2	16.4	0.85
Shawn Marion	74	74	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.23	-16	8	-24	13.9	12.2	1.72	16.4	18.8	-2.44

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	82	82	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.21	16	-8	24	16.5	19.2	-2.69	13.7	12.2	1.49
Andrei Kirilenko	85	85	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-6	20	16.4	21.2	-4.80	13.8	11.7	2.09
Carlos Boozer	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-4	16	16.4	19.1	-2.65	13.6	13.6	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	87	87	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	5	-2	17.4	11.0	6.45	13.6	12.6	1.06
Devin Brown	48	46	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	9	-10	16.9	16.9	0.07	13.0	14.1	-1.08
Kris Humphries	8	8	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	4	0	15.9	17.0	-1.13	15.6	13.4	2.26
Matt Harpring	56	56	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	4	0	17.6	16.0	1.58	13.8	13.2	0.53
Keith McLeod	10	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	14	-20	21.2	16.4	4.80	11.7	13.8	-2.09
Milt Palacio	22	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	14	-20	16.5	17.0	-0.47	12.3	13.9	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.4%
BOS 85, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.97,0.95,1	92.4%
MIL 95, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.92,1	92.1%