NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	7.2 [414]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +14.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	108		Comeback	4.0 [656]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -22.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Hunter	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.08	-0.00	6	69%	0.17	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	89%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	69%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
James Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.05	30	57%	0.19	6	-0.19	19	89%	0.06
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	15	34%	-0.13	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.11	0.03	25	53%	0.18	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.03
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	4	100%	0.19	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	16	53%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	12	50%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	35%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	11	47%	-0.05	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	7	41%	-0.04	2	-0.06	13	38%	-0.08
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	4	10%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.4	34.5	15.5	31.2	1.7	37.5	148.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -4.2%

MIL +2.0%

MIL +39.0%

MIL +11.0%

MIL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	13.2	15.4	15.6	96.0	108.0	104.4
season	15.2	15.5		104.1	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.1	14.0	12.5	13.4	13.2
MIL	14.1	16.6	15.2	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	19	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-9	7	16.1	12.6	3.48	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Shavlik Randolph	1	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-8	5	0.0	13.4	-13.36	15.0	15.4	-0.45
Andre Iguodala	57	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-7	3	13.3	13.2	0.12	15.0	16.2	-1.21
Kevin Ollie	34	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-10	9	13.1	13.3	-0.12	15.9	15.2	0.69
James Thomas	33	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-9	7	12.8	13.4	-0.61	15.3	15.5	-0.15
Steven Hunter	62	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-9	7	13.5	12.8	0.71	15.9	14.6	1.26
Kyle Korver	45	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.33	1	-12	13	14.4	12.2	2.19	18.3	13.2	5.10
John Salmons	73	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	1	-13	12.6	15.0	-2.40	14.1	18.6	-4.48
Chris Webber	84	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	1	-13	12.9	14.8	-1.92	15.2	16.4	-1.17
Allen Iverson	97	95	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.10	-18	7	-25	13.0	19.0	-6.01	15.2	19.8	-4.59

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	47	50	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	-7	25	15.5	15.4	0.09	13.0	13.5	-0.45
Bobby Simmons	84	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-8	27	14.9	18.4	-3.49	12.9	14.9	-1.96
Michael Redd	87	87	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-5	21	14.9	19.0	-4.09	13.4	11.9	1.51
Joe Smith	78	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	2	7	15.3	15.9	-0.60	12.6	15.4	-2.73
Mo Williams	59	58	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	2	7	14.9	16.2	-1.36	12.7	14.0	-1.34
T.J. Ford	46	48	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	15	-19	16.8	14.3	2.53	13.6	12.9	0.76
Charlie Bell	18	18	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	8	-5	16.6	15.2	1.43	12.2	13.4	-1.22
Toni Kukoc	17	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	13	-15	14.6	15.6	-1.03	16.3	12.6	3.67
Jamaal Magloire	55	54	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	15	-19	15.9	14.9	1.00	13.7	12.7	1.02
Jiri Welsch	9	10	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.08	-9	20	-29	19.9	15.0	4.89	15.6	13.0	2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, UTA 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,1	93.4%
BOS 85, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.97,0.95,1	92.7%
WAS 97, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.93,1,1,1	92.2%