NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	109		Excitement	2.5 [1273]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (DEN): +11.3%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	94		Comeback	1.0 [639]		LVP	Rasual Butler (NOK): -12.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.00	0.04	9	81%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	19	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.08	14	46%	0.06	3	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	15	63%	0.03	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	45%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Hodge	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	8	28%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	18	67%	0.08	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.05	6	79%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	7	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	7	35%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	8	17%	-0.07	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	11	42%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	0.00	-0.04	9	19%	-0.11	3	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.4	29.4	15.5	24.4	2.5	28.4	128.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +40.1%

DEN +5.2%

NOK -4.4%

DEN +10.5%

NOK -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NOK	NBA	DEN	NOK	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.6	114.7	101.1	104.4
season	14.4	16.3		103.5	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.9		104.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.4	13.6	17.4	18.3	15.4
NOK	17.6	16.5	13.9	13.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	74	75	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.20	22	-7	29	15.1	16.4	-1.36	15.1	16.1	-0.98
Andre Miller	67	64	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	2	11	15.9	14.1	1.84	14.5	17.0	-2.47
Reggie Evans	78	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	4	7	15.6	14.2	1.38	14.9	17.1	-2.24
Ruben Patterson	53	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	4	7	14.8	16.1	-1.26	15.9	14.5	1.44
Kenyon Martin	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	0	15	14.3	16.3	-1.91	15.4	15.1	0.32
Greg Buckner	62	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	9	-3	15.8	14.5	1.31	15.6	14.7	0.84
Linas Kleiza	32	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	11	-7	16.0	15.1	0.91	15.5	15.2	0.34
Howard Eisley	32	32	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.20	-3	18	-21	15.9	15.1	0.86	16.5	14.6	1.92
Francisco Elson	21	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	15	-15	14.9	15.5	-0.60	17.6	14.5	3.10
DerMarr Johnson	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	14.2	15.4	-1.28	8.8	15.6	-6.84
Julius Hodge	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	14.2	15.4	-1.28	8.8	15.6	-6.84

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-16	17	9.1	15.8	-6.62	12.4	15.6	-3.17
J.R. Smith	24	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-14	13	16.5	14.8	1.66	16.0	15.2	0.80
Marc Jackson	34	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-13	11	15.8	15.0	0.78	16.2	14.9	1.36
Aaron Williams	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.22	1	-16	17	16.7	14.4	2.27	16.8	14.5	2.27
Linton Johnson	36	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-8	1	15.2	15.3	-0.03	16.3	14.8	1.48
Kirk Snyder	32	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-5	-5	15.6	15.1	0.50	13.5	16.3	-2.79
Speedy Claxton	56	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-13	11	15.1	15.5	-0.36	16.1	14.2	1.89
P.J. Brown	46	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	0	-15	15.4	15.1	0.33	14.2	16.5	-2.26
Rasual Butler	57	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	15.8	14.4	1.39	15.3	15.5	-0.19
David West	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	-1	-13	14.2	18.6	-4.41	15.0	16.5	-1.52
Chris Paul	67	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	0	-15	15.0	16.0	-1.01	15.3	15.6	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, GSW 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
CLE 124, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
GSW 125, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%