NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	5.9 [654]		MVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): +28.1%
Sacramento Kings	114		Comeback	2.0 [872]		LVP	Jim Jackson (LAL): -6.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	12	86%	0.24	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Smush Parker	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	11	68%	0.15	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	12	37%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	28	51%	0.07	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.19	0.07	-0.02	15	74%	0.30	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	11	67%	0.20	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	10	70%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	5	64%	0.11	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.10	0.04	0.14	18	66%	0.11	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.03
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	32.1	15.8	22.9	2.0	28.2	127.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +27.9%

SAC +16.3%

SAC +4.8%

SAC +3.1%

LAL -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.7	14.0	15.6	101.0	117.5	104.4
season	15.6	15.3		106.2	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	16.7	16.3	13.9	15.7
SAC	13.3	11.6	16.4	14.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	78	76	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-24	32	15.7	16.1	-0.40	14.3	12.6	1.71
Ronny Turiaf	16	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-14	12	16.2	15.6	0.55	11.4	14.4	-3.04
Luke Walton	22	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-10	4	15.6	15.8	-0.12	15.0	13.6	1.36
Brian Cook	49	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-10	4	15.8	15.6	0.21	15.0	12.9	2.10
Andrew Bynum	22	22	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-11	6	14.4	16.1	-1.71	12.5	14.4	-1.95
Kobe Bryant	90	89	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-8	0	15.7	15.9	-0.13	14.1	12.4	1.73
Kwame Brown	75	75	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-5	-6	16.1	14.4	1.71	14.4	12.5	1.95
Jim Jackson	21	24	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-2	-12	15.9	15.7	0.16	11.9	14.6	-2.77
Lamar Odom	93	93	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-4	-8	15.6	18.7	-3.15	13.9	14.2	-0.30
Sasha Vujacic	19	21	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.21	-24	8	-32	16.1	15.7	0.40	12.6	14.3	-1.71

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	95	94	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.03	21	-5	26	13.9	16.0	-2.08	15.9	9.0	6.95
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	56	56	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.10	23	-7	30	13.4	14.7	-1.21	15.2	16.4	-1.18
Brad Miller	91	91	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-1	18	14.0	13.2	0.84	15.8	14.5	1.31
Bonzi Wells	57	56	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.07	19	-3	22	14.2	13.6	0.53	15.1	16.6	-1.48
Mike Bibby	89	88	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	4	8	14.1	11.9	2.27	15.4	18.9	-3.48
Kevin Martin	44	46	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	19	-22	13.4	14.4	-1.01	16.9	14.6	2.29
Kenny Thomas	53	54	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	25	-34	14.4	13.4	0.96	15.9	15.5	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 76, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CLE 92, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	94.1%
CLE 84, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%