NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	5.5 [737]		MVP	Steve Blake (POR): +25.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	1.4 [1013]		LVP	Kwame Brown (LAL): -6.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Walton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	3	78%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Brian Cook	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0	0.03	-0.03	0.01	10	70%	0.11	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	27	51%	0.03	4	-0.08	15	100%	0.06
Chris Mihm	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.14	-0.03	13	63%	0.27	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	17	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	13	41%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	25.7	15.5	27.5	1.8	36.2	132.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.9%

LAL -3.1%

POR +15.0%

POR +5.4%

LAL -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.3	15.6	96.9	102.1	104.4
season	15.6	16.6		106.2	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.8	15.3	14.2	14.1	14.6
POR	15.2	16.7	14.0	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	9	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-7	8	15.1	14.5	0.61	13.8	15.5	-1.65
Brian Cook	47	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.28	6	-12	18	15.1	14.0	1.15	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Luke Walton	39	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.28	6	-12	18	14.3	14.8	-0.52	15.6	15.1	0.55
Sasha Vujacic	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-1	-4	12.5	14.9	-2.41	16.5	15.1	1.43
Kwame Brown	33	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	0	-6	12.4	15.7	-3.35	15.4	15.2	0.18
Devean George	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	0	-6	15.1	14.2	0.90	15.0	15.5	-0.57
Smush Parker	82	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-5	4	14.9	12.5	2.41	15.1	16.5	-1.43
Chris Mihm	48	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	8	-22	15.8	13.3	2.46	15.6	14.9	0.72
Lamar Odom	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-3	0	14.5	15.3	-0.88	15.1	16.4	-1.30
Kobe Bryant	82	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	2	-10	14.3	15.9	-1.60	15.4	14.5	0.94

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	1	4	15.4	15.0	0.38	14.5	14.6	-0.07
Juan Dixon	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.21	9	-3	12	15.1	15.6	-0.54	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Darius Miles	58	57	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	2	2	15.3	15.2	0.17	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Brian Skinner	73	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	2	2	16.0	13.2	2.81	15.8	11.0	4.82
Zach Randolph	61	63	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	2	2	14.5	16.6	-2.03	13.7	16.2	-2.51
Travis Outlaw	46	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.28	-3	9	-12	14.7	15.8	-1.19	12.5	16.3	-3.81
Viktor Khryapa	30	30	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	1	4	14.9	15.5	-0.60	16.3	13.8	2.48
Martell Webster	29	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	4	-2	16.7	14.7	1.96	15.8	14.1	1.69
Sebastian Telfair	26	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	5	-4	15.3	15.3	-0.01	15.0	14.4	0.61
Jarrett Jack	35	33	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	7	-8	15.2	15.3	-0.17	14.6	14.5	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	95.4%
CLE 98, CHH 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIA 86, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.8%