NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	128		Excitement	3.3 [1159]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +9.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	97		Comeback	1.3 [477]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -4.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.01	-0.04	21	55%	0.13	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Rafer Alston	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	0.01	0.09	7	94%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Keith Bogans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.17	0.01	0.14	9	90%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	13	61%	0.06	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	10	46%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
David Wesley	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	9	73%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Luther Head	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	15	61%	0.07	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.01	0.05	17	66%	0.07	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Boniface N'Dong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	3	58%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	6	29%	-0.02	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.04	18	52%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	30.7	16.6	28.6	2.7	28.2	135.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.1%

HOU +0.8%

HOU +15.0%

HOU +1.3%

LAC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	13.8	15.2	15.6	128.0	98.0	104.4
season	16.1	15.2		99.9	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		102.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	12.9	12.6	15.7	13.8
LAC	15.3	17.1	12.7	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	69	67	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.13	21	10	11	12.9	15.8	-2.92	14.4	16.9	-2.53
David Wesley	79	80	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.27	23	8	15	13.6	14.3	-0.67	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Yao Ming	67	66	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.36	25	6	19	13.9	13.5	0.32	15.7	14.3	1.38
Keith Bogans	48	47	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.47	26	5	21	14.6	13.0	1.58	17.0	13.6	3.44
Tracy McGrady	62	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	23	-15	13.5	14.1	-0.56	14.4	16.5	-2.02
Juwan Howard	54	56	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	22	-13	13.1	14.5	-1.33	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Stromile Swift	42	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	20	-9	14.1	13.5	0.66	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Dikembe Mutombo	15	15	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	25	-19	14.7	13.6	1.07	17.5	14.8	2.68
Luther Head	33	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.30	12	19	-7	15.0	13.1	1.85	16.4	14.6	1.80
Charles Hayes	13	11	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.22	8	23	-15	13.0	13.9	-0.87	14.1	15.3	-1.24
Jon Barry	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	28	-25	14.4	13.7	0.75	14.5	15.3	-0.75
Ryan Bowen	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	28	-25	14.4	13.7	0.75	14.5	15.3	-0.75

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	16	16	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.24	-8	-23	15	16.7	14.9	1.86	16.3	13.3	3.04
Yaroslav Korolev	22	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.40	-14	-17	3	16.3	14.9	1.39	15.7	13.2	2.57
Boniface N'Dong	20	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.23	-11	-20	9	16.2	14.9	1.33	15.0	13.4	1.63
Daniel Ewing	38	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.41	-18	-13	-5	15.7	14.9	0.80	15.5	12.8	2.70
James Singleton	49	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.35	-19	-12	-7	14.8	15.6	-0.78	13.6	14.0	-0.40
Cuttino Mobley	70	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	-15	-1	14.3	17.4	-3.09	13.4	14.6	-1.23
Sam Cassell	65	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-19	7	14.9	15.7	-0.78	13.0	15.2	-2.21
Chris Kaman	70	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.26	-23	-8	-15	15.9	13.6	2.27	13.8	13.6	0.23
Elton Brand	72	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	-15	-1	15.1	15.6	-0.50	13.2	15.1	-1.84
Shaun Livingston	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.04	-18	-13	-5	14.8	16.2	-1.30	12.9	16.0	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 106, LAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
DEN 117, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
ORL 95, TOR 68	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%