NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	99		Excitement	7.3 [379]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +23.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.6 [450]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -12.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.00	26	52%	0.23	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.00	5	85%	0.19	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Derek Fisher	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.04	-0.01	7	95%	0.24	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	7	53%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Ike Diogu	0.05	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	47%	0.05	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.05
Monta Ellis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.25	0.00	0.02	17	79%	0.32	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.01	10	55%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	13	46%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.05	-0.02	16	38%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.6	31.2	17.5	27.4	1.7	33.2	142.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +31.9%

GSW +1.8%

CLE -2.1%

GSW +18.2%

GSW +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	16.8	15.6	106.5	101.1	104.4
season	14.8	16.2		102.9	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.9	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.4	12.4	15.8	16.6	14.7
CLE	17.0	17.1	16.9	16.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	49	49	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.21	16	-8	24	14.0	15.5	-1.50	17.3	16.2	1.07
Derek Fisher	72	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-5	18	14.3	16.0	-1.61	17.5	14.6	2.84
Mickael Pietrus	43	42	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-3	14	15.1	14.4	0.71	16.4	17.1	-0.74
Mike Dunleavy	56	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	0	8	14.6	14.9	-0.26	15.6	18.8	-3.25
Jason Richardson	80	77	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.27	2	6	-4	14.8	14.1	0.74	17.0	15.7	1.29
Baron Davis	22	20	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	5	-2	15.0	14.6	0.44	16.4	16.9	-0.51
Monta Ellis	36	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	6	-4	13.9	15.2	-1.29	17.3	16.5	0.84
Ike Diogu	37	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	11	-14	14.9	14.6	0.26	18.4	15.9	2.52
Calbert Cheaney	27	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	11	-14	15.3	14.5	0.88	15.4	17.4	-1.99
Adonal Foyle	43	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	17	-26	15.7	13.9	1.75	16.2	17.3	-1.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	68	70	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.28	11	-19	30	15.9	19.5	-3.63	15.4	12.6	2.85
Sasha Pavlovic	38	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-5	2	16.4	17.1	-0.75	14.0	15.3	-1.36
Stephen Graham	22	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-7	6	17.1	16.7	0.39	16.0	14.3	1.71
Drew Gooden	42	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-2	-4	18.4	15.4	2.92	14.8	14.6	0.25
Eric Snow	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-4	0	16.9	16.6	0.30	14.0	16.1	-2.05
Donyell Marshall	53	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-1	-6	15.2	19.1	-3.92	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Damon Jones	68	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-7	6	16.0	19.2	-3.15	14.9	14.3	0.53
Anderson Varejao	17	18	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.16	-14	6	-20	21.5	15.7	5.83	12.8	15.2	-2.40
LeBron James	79	82	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.23	-15	7	-22	17.5	11.6	5.88	15.1	11.6	3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.45,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.05,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 80, WAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.16,0.05,0	92.6%
DET 100, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.08,0	92.5%
PHI 99, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.01,0	92.4%