NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	91		Excitement	7.2 [385]		MVP	Damien Wilkins (SEA): +37.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	3.8 [563]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -24.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.27	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.27	0.20	0.08	0.01	16	74%	0.27	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	10	71%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Josh Childress	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	9	71%	0.20	6	-0.19	6	83%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	7	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Esteban Batista	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Salim Stoudamire	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	13	46%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	7	14%	-0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	17	26%	-0.20	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.16,0.23,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.16	0.24	0.03	12	70%	0.40	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.07
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	22	46%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Mateen Cleaves	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.03	10	74%	0.08	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Robert Swift	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	-0.00	15	28%	-0.12	3	-0.09	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	29.2	16.6	27.1	1.7	34.2	136.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +14.3%

SEA +13.4%

SEA +23.1%

SEA +0.4%

ATL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SEA	NBA	ATL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	15.6	96.8	105.3	104.4
season	15.6	15.0		103.9	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		112.2	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	16.1	14.7	17.4	15.5
SEA	13.9	15.2	14.7	16.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	59	60	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-8	8	14.6	17.0	-2.40	14.2	16.7	-2.54
Salim Stoudamire	42	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.16	5	-13	18	14.5	16.3	-1.80	15.2	15.0	0.22
Esteban Batista	16	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-5	2	13.9	15.8	-1.91	13.7	15.4	-1.65
Royal Ivey	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-2	-4	15.9	15.3	0.61	15.7	14.8	0.92
Zaza Pachulia	69	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-5	2	15.8	14.8	0.93	15.3	14.5	0.85
Josh Smith	43	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	15.3	15.7	-0.40	15.6	14.7	0.82
Joe Johnson	82	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-1	-6	16.0	12.4	3.56	15.3	14.1	1.21
Josh Childress	63	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	2	-12	16.0	14.5	1.55	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Al Harrington	62	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.35	-10	2	-12	16.0	14.6	1.41	15.2	14.9	0.28

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	64	62	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.40	20	-12	32	15.2	14.8	0.42	15.7	15.2	0.46
Robert Swift	59	56	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.27	22	-14	36	16.2	13.3	2.83	16.9	13.4	3.53
Ray Allen	75	75	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.29	19	-11	30	15.7	12.8	2.85	16.4	11.9	4.55
Luke Ridnour	78	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-1	10	15.0	15.5	-0.46	15.4	15.9	-0.50
Damien Wilkins	69	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.24	10	-2	12	15.6	13.9	1.63	16.0	14.3	1.68
Mateen Cleaves	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	9.5	15.2	-5.74	6.5	15.7	-9.22
Rashard Lewis	25	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	10	-12	13.9	15.6	-1.63	14.3	16.0	-1.68
Ronald Murray	35	36	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.09	-12	20	-32	14.1	15.7	-1.69	13.6	16.7	-3.14
Johan Petro	33	35	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.06	-13	21	-34	13.6	16.0	-2.38	14.0	16.4	-2.47
Vladimir Radmanovic	30	32	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	-0.13	-12	20	-32	14.8	15.2	-0.42	15.2	15.7	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.77,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, LAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.4,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.1%
SEA 94, NJN 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.85,1,1	91.1%
BOS 102, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.97,0.99,1	91.1%