NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	78		Excitement	4.5 [940]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +10.5%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	1.2 [1097]		LVP	Devin Brown (UTA): -13.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	7	87%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.04	14	68%	0.11	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	41%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	10	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Deron Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Keith McLeod	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.18	-0.02	-0.06	9	5%	-0.11	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	9	91%	0.14	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	1	125%	0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	19	50%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.01	0.04	8	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	0.07	7	57%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	12	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	9	41%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	1.8	25.3	15.7	25.2	2.6	26.3	126.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +19.6%

SAC +11.2%

SAC +0.8%

SAC +13.8%

SAC +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	17.0	17.3	15.6	91.8	115.7	104.4
season	17.0	15.3		101.7	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.0		103.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.1	16.4	18.6	18.2	17.0
SAC	14.9	19.8	17.4	17.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	12.7	17.3	-4.62	16.6	17.4	-0.84
CJ Miles	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	12.7	17.3	-4.62	16.6	17.4	-0.84
Devin Brown	38	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-16	14	16.7	17.1	-0.44	18.3	16.6	1.66
Jarron Collins	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-12	6	15.7	17.5	-1.79	19.0	16.5	2.51
Mehmet Okur	65	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-9	0	16.9	17.2	-0.32	16.6	19.5	-2.92
Greg Ostertag	47	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-11	4	17.0	16.9	0.06	16.5	18.4	-1.90
Deron Williams	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-9	0	16.7	17.2	-0.53	17.8	16.9	0.96
Keith McLeod	35	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-5	-8	18.0	16.2	1.73	16.2	18.1	-1.92
Matt Harpring	34	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-4	-10	18.7	15.8	2.87	18.1	16.8	1.27
Milt Palacio	58	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-6	-6	16.7	17.5	-0.83	17.1	17.9	-0.82
Andrei Kirilenko	67	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.16	-22	4	-26	17.5	14.8	2.69	17.7	16.1	1.57

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	61	62	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.17	22	-4	26	17.9	15.9	1.94	17.9	14.4	3.45
Mike Bibby	67	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	1	16	16.9	19.1	-2.14	17.1	16.2	0.87
Francisco Garcia	39	40	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.09	17	1	16	17.6	17.1	0.52	18.0	16.0	1.98
Brian Skinner	51	52	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	4	10	17.7	16.7	1.06	17.2	16.6	0.62
Kenny Thomas	65	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	5	8	17.2	17.7	-0.49	17.3	15.8	1.51
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	43	45	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	9	0	16.4	18.3	-1.91	17.0	16.9	0.05
Jason Hart	13	13	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	15	-12	19.0	17.0	1.97	16.3	17.1	-0.76
Kevin Martin	55	58	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	18	-18	16.9	18.2	-1.38	15.6	19.9	-4.36
Corliss Williamson	21	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	23	-28	18.0	17.1	0.95	14.1	17.9	-3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 89, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
LAL 81, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
SAC 94, LAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%