NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	9.4 [107]		MVP	Salim Stoudamire (ATL): +49.1%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	2.7 [224]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -17.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.33	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.33	0.05	0.29	0.01	18	61%	0.46	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.14	0.01	17	62%	0.30	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.08
Leandro Barbosa	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21	0.03	0.18	0.00	8	64%	0.28	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.11	-0.00	13	50%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
James Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	13	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	11	33%	-0.04	1	-0.06	2	50%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.49	0.49	0.12	0.37	-0.00	10	80%	0.55	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	4	73%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.11,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.01	14	53%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Royal Ivey	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.01	24	55%	0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	12	25%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	21	33%	-0.15	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.8	27.1	17.5	25.2	1.8	35.9	131.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +88.8%

ATL -22.2%

ATL -19.9%

PHX +2.6%

PHX +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	13.1	15.7	15.6	111.1	105.0	104.4
season	13.8	15.6		110.2	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		109.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	13.6	12.4	12.2	13.1
ATL	15.2	15.2	15.3	17.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	87	89	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-7	18	12.9	14.4	-1.53	15.8	15.0	0.80
Leandro Barbosa	60	61	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.30	9	-5	14	12.3	14.2	-1.87	16.3	14.8	1.41
Eddie House	35	36	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-15	34	13.0	13.1	-0.11	16.4	15.3	1.02
James Jones	50	51	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	-4	12	13.6	12.6	0.99	15.9	15.5	0.36
Shawn Marion	86	89	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.49	-8	12	-20	13.1	13.2	-0.10	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Raja Bell	77	77	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	7	-10	13.1	12.9	0.21	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Steve Nash	70	71	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.44	-12	16	-28	13.5	12.0	1.56	15.2	16.9	-1.70
Kurt Thomas	30	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	8	-12	13.2	13.0	0.19	15.2	15.9	-0.74

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	24	23	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.01	7	-11	18	14.0	16.2	-2.18	14.1	12.7	1.38
Zaza Pachulia	41	38	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-7	10	15.6	15.8	-0.24	13.6	12.8	0.82
Marvin Williams	43	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-7	10	15.3	16.0	-0.78	13.1	13.0	0.08
Josh Smith	34	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.14	-8	4	-12	14.2	16.5	-2.26	14.7	12.3	2.48
Al Harrington	85	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.44	3	-7	10	15.5	16.7	-1.24	12.9	14.2	-1.33
Joe Johnson	98	97	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-5	6	15.9	10.7	5.19	12.9	23.5	-10.64
Josh Childress	73	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	4	-12	16.7	13.1	3.64	12.9	13.4	-0.48
Salim Stoudamire	42	41	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	9	-22	15.5	15.9	-0.43	11.5	14.2	-2.66
Tyronn Lue	65	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	4	-12	16.5	14.2	2.34	13.3	12.7	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.48,0.23,0.36,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.23,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 111, WAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.21,0.14,0.01,0	90.8%
BOS 87, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.6,0.53,0.31,0.21,0.06,0.15,0	90.3%
ORL 104, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.09,0.01,0	90.1%