inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 104 Excitement3.9 [1051] MVPChris Duhon (CHI): +13.6%
Toronto Raptors 88 Comeback1.4 [429] LVPMorris Peterson (TOR): -8.4%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Duhon0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.180.030.071387%0.193-0.054100%0.02
Darius Songaila0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.11-0.010.011173%0.121-0.04475%0.01
Tyson Chandler0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.01492%0.091-0.02475%0.01
Jannero Pargo0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.030.02856%0.0500.0000%0.00
Andres Nocioni0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.01-0.021246%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Luol Deng0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.00-0.00-0.021048%0.041-0.02333%-0.02
Ben Gordon0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.00-0.00-0.01853%0.031-0.021100%0.00
Stephen Graham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Allen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00540%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Othella Harrington-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.090.00-0.0220%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.03-0.02727%-0.041-0.041100%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Rose0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.02562%0.062-0.021182%0.01
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.04375%0.053-0.022100%0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.011150%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.11-0.040.061361%0.0200.005100%0.02
Pape Sow0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.02257%0.0100.00367%-0.01
Darrick Martin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.010.011943%-0.031-0.02967%-0.02
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.000.001136%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.000.04633%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.03817%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.31.732.016.026.22.526.5134.2
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +52.1%
TOR -5.9%
CHI +12.4%
TOR -10.1%
CHI +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHITORNBACHITORNBA
this game15.015.915.6111.894.6104.4
season14.415.6102.6107.3
opponent15.416.1110.5102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI12.314.219.215.115.0
TOR16.017.113.816.915.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Duhon67680.65-0.150.79-0.1527-113814.915.3-0.4016.813.63.15
Darius Songaila58590.64-0.140.79-0.2330-144414.416.0-1.6116.215.50.66
Andres Nocioni49490.370.130.250.08106415.115.00.1316.315.50.80
Malik Allen39380.260.240.02-0.06115613.016.5-3.5315.916.0-0.13
Jannero Pargo26260.220.28-0.05-0.0497215.714.80.9316.215.90.29
Luol Deng52510.210.29-0.090.03610-414.715.4-0.7016.515.31.12
Ben Gordon46460.130.37-0.240.04313-1014.215.8-1.5915.216.7-1.44
Tyson Chandler46470.100.40-0.310.18-319-2217.312.84.5615.216.7-1.44
Stephen Graham980.010.49-0.49-0.05214-1211.815.4-3.5911.616.4-4.73
Kirk Hinrich4343-0.010.51-0.510.20-723-3016.014.11.9115.816.1-0.25
Othella Harrington3030-0.080.58-0.660.15-824-3216.214.51.6915.616.1-0.56

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrick Martin66-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-131013.516.1-2.6112.215.2-3.05
Joey Graham3636-0.01-0.490.47-0.196-222814.716.8-2.0917.513.44.09
Mike James4950-0.04-0.460.43-0.278-243215.116.9-1.7817.412.35.14
Pape Sow4243-0.12-0.380.260.08-7-9216.615.41.2315.314.80.52
Charlie Villanueva3836-0.29-0.21-0.080.06-12-4-816.015.90.1412.716.5-3.80
Matt Bonner5454-0.36-0.14-0.220.02-13-3-1015.716.2-0.4914.415.9-1.55
Morris Peterson5856-0.37-0.13-0.250.01-13-3-1015.416.8-1.3215.614.21.38
Jalen Rose5355-0.39-0.11-0.280.02-14-2-1217.713.64.1614.316.1-1.88
Chris Bosh7979-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.06-13-3-1015.916.4-0.5715.313.61.62
Jose Calderon5050-0.47-0.03-0.430.09-193-2216.415.40.9813.217.2-4.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.21,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 106, NJN 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.3%
OKC 109, POR 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
NYK 92, DAL 800.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,095.0%