NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	5.6 [715]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +47.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	122		Comeback	17.2 [154]		LVP	Kwame Brown (LAL): -7.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	15	53%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Pape Sow	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.04	2	57%	0.04	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Joey Graham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	-0.06	0.05	15	81%	0.15	4	-0.13	2	0%	-0.06
Charlie Villanueva	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.04
Jose Calderon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.48	0.56	0.10	0.18	46	72%	0.57	3	-0.09	20	90%	0.03
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	8	63%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	54%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.05	-0.01	7	40%	0.06	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.8	29.2	16.4	33.5	3.3	34.4	142.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +20.2%

LAL +10.9%

LAL +26.6%

TOR -2.1%

TOR -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	15.6	105.1	124.5	104.4
season	15.6	15.6		107.3	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		104.3	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.5	14.0	14.1	16.0	14.6
LAL	16.2	16.0	11.6	15.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pape Sow	19	21	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	-17	16	14.3	14.7	-0.35	16.7	14.1	2.64
Eric Williams	13	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-18	18	12.8	14.9	-2.01	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Joey Graham	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-14	10	14.6	14.6	0.03	15.0	14.5	0.51
Morris Peterson	56	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-11	4	14.8	14.3	0.48	15.6	13.4	2.14
Jose Calderon	27	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-11	4	14.4	14.7	-0.21	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Matt Bonner	54	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	-4	-10	14.7	14.5	0.20	14.5	14.8	-0.37
Charlie Villanueva	42	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-7	-4	14.8	14.5	0.33	14.0	15.1	-1.06
Jalen Rose	90	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-6	-6	14.7	13.8	0.90	14.5	15.9	-1.40
Chris Bosh	88	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	-3	-12	14.5	15.3	-0.76	14.5	15.5	-0.91
Mike James	77	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.01	-19	1	-20	14.7	14.3	0.42	14.2	16.2	-1.98

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	87	89	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.08	25	-7	32	14.1	18.7	-4.60	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Lamar Odom	85	88	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	0	18	14.8	13.8	1.01	14.8	13.0	1.80
Devean George	48	49	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.12	13	5	8	13.5	15.8	-2.32	14.4	14.8	-0.33
Smush Parker	72	75	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	7	4	13.9	16.7	-2.74	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Chris Mihm	63	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	7	4	13.9	16.1	-2.20	14.2	15.4	-1.20
Luke Walton	28	26	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	12	-6	16.0	14.1	1.90	15.7	14.2	1.49
Sasha Vujacic	27	25	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.10	6	12	-6	16.5	13.9	2.59	15.2	14.4	0.86
Brian Cook	18	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	18	-18	15.4	14.5	0.91	11.5	15.2	-3.77
Kwame Brown	39	38	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.05	-12	30	-42	16.6	13.4	3.19	15.2	14.2	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.26,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, UTA 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
HOU 91, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	92.5%
SEA 103, BOS 118	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.23,0.31,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%