NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	83		Excitement	5.2 [788]		MVP	Al Harrington (ATL): +21.5%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	1.4 [1007]		LVP	Luther Head (HOU): -14.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	4	78%	0.08	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.03
John Lucas III	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	17	49%	0.07	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03
Lonny Baxter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	8	45%	0.03	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Juwan Howard	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	17	50%	0.09	5	-0.16	6	67%	-0.01
Luther Head	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	0.12	11	70%	0.01	6	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.01	16	78%	0.31	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	17	59%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	7	39%	-0.03	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	33.3	18.5	27.3	2.5	31.5	139.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +21.1%

HOU -3.9%

ATL +5.6%

ATL +17.3%

ATL +9.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ATL	NBA	HOU	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	17.6	15.6	101.2	109.3	104.4
season	16.1	15.6		99.9	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		109.3	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.8	16.7	14.9	17.4	16.7
ATL	15.7	16.0	19.4	19.4	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	58	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-6	1	16.7	16.7	0.04	17.5	17.7	-0.14
Lonny Baxter	8	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-9	7	15.4	16.8	-1.46	21.7	17.1	4.58
Rafer Alston	76	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-8	5	16.4	21.0	-4.64	17.9	13.0	4.91
John Lucas III	15	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-5	-1	19.9	16.0	3.88	17.5	17.6	-0.09
Luther Head	76	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-7	3	16.4	20.0	-3.57	17.8	15.0	2.76
David Wesley	73	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	2	-15	16.4	19.1	-2.71	17.0	21.5	-4.56
Juwan Howard	74	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	16.7	16.4	0.35	17.6	17.6	0.02
Ryan Bowen	30	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	1	-13	17.6	16.2	1.43	16.6	18.2	-1.60

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	63	57	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-7	25	17.3	18.4	-1.12	16.8	16.6	0.19
Salim Stoudamire	48	47	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-4	19	17.4	17.8	-0.49	16.2	17.4	-1.23
Josh Childress	37	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	1	9	17.5	17.6	-0.15	17.5	16.1	1.39
Al Harrington	74	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	4	3	17.9	15.7	2.11	16.8	16.2	0.56
Joe Johnson	72	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	7	-3	17.7	16.7	1.02	16.4	18.2	-1.72
Marvin Williams	50	46	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	10	-9	16.6	18.9	-2.27	17.4	15.8	1.64
John Edwards	8	7	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	6	-1	17.0	17.6	-0.63	19.0	16.5	2.52
Royal Ivey	29	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	11	-11	17.2	17.7	-0.50	15.6	17.2	-1.58
Zaza Pachulia	49	49	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.10	-5	16	-21	18.8	15.9	2.85	16.4	17.2	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 111, SAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
MIL 110, PHX 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
SAS 81, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%