NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	107		Excitement	3.2 [1168]		MVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): +6.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	92		Comeback	1.3 [459]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -13.5%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.00	-0.08	11	55%	0.08	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	57%	0.07	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.07	12	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	12	100%	0.04
J.R. Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	6	33%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	75%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
David West	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	18	54%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Jackson Vroman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Macijauskas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	56%	0.09	5	-0.10	7	71%	0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	46%	-0.01	1	-0.01	10	70%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	11	64%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	13	59%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Burleson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	12	33%	-0.07	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	10	48%	-0.02	8	-0.12	13	77%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	38.0	15.6	28.2	2.4	29.3	140.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +30.3%

NOK +9.2%

NOK +8.9%

NOK +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	CHA	NBA	NOK	CHA	NBA
this game	14.1	13.4	15.6	102.9	87.6	104.4
season	16.3	14.8		101.2	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	12.3	13.8	14.8	15.9	14.1
CHA	13.9	12.4	14.6	12.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	69	69	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.06	18	-3	21	14.0	14.4	-0.40	13.6	13.1	0.53
Kirk Snyder	49	50	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-1	17	14.5	13.8	0.63	12.9	13.9	-0.97
Desmond Mason	85	87	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.08	18	-3	21	13.2	18.2	-4.92	13.6	12.8	0.72
P.J. Brown	61	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	9	-3	15.2	12.6	2.57	14.0	12.6	1.48
Chris Paul	76	77	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	6	3	13.3	16.4	-3.09	13.1	14.3	-1.17
Rasual Butler	51	51	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	5	5	14.1	14.2	-0.11	13.8	13.1	0.65
David West	72	73	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	7	1	13.6	15.3	-1.70	13.6	13.0	0.57
J.R. Smith	37	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	13	-11	15.9	13.2	2.69	13.4	13.4	-0.04
Jackson Vroman	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	16.0	14.1	1.94	11.7	13.5	-1.75
Bostjan Nachbar	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	16.0	14.1	1.94	11.7	13.5	-1.75
Brandon Bass	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	16.0	14.1	1.94	11.7	13.5	-1.75
Arvydas Macijauskas	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	16.9	13.9	2.97	10.9	13.6	-2.76

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Burleson	21	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-18	21	12.9	13.6	-0.71	14.0	14.2	-0.23
Alan Anderson	49	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-17	19	13.5	13.4	0.08	14.5	13.8	0.67
Matt Carroll	27	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-14	13	10.8	14.3	-3.57	14.0	14.2	-0.18
Primoz Brezec	55	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-15	15	14.5	12.3	2.19	14.7	13.5	1.22
Brevin Knight	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-3	-9	15.0	12.1	2.92	14.4	13.9	0.49
Bernard Robinson	69	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-14	13	12.4	15.4	-2.98	14.6	13.3	1.34
Raymond Felton	79	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-8	1	13.2	14.2	-1.02	14.3	13.5	0.79
Gerald Wallace	88	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	2	-19	13.4	13.4	0.09	13.8	15.8	-2.05
Keith Bogans	39	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	3	-21	13.2	13.6	-0.40	12.9	14.9	-2.02
Jumaine Jones	51	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.24	-24	9	-33	14.4	12.6	1.80	13.7	14.5	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, MIN 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
TOR 98, CLE 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
MIN 98, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%