NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	3.2 [1161]		MVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): +20.6%
Toronto Raptors	129		Comeback	1.1 [1188]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -4.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	62%	0.08	2	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	12	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	13	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04
Trevor Ariza	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	6	33%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.00	12	75%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	11	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.23	0.05	0.07	15	76%	0.21	0	0.00	11	91%	0.05
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.01	0.04	16	82%	0.17	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	15	61%	0.08	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	6	87%	0.08	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	9	44%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.08	10	68%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.7	32.5	16.4	25.4	2.3	33.7	139.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +27.2%

TOR +8.8%

TOR +2.4%

TOR +11.2%

TOR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.0	15.6	107.3	130.3	104.4
season	15.7	15.6		102.1	107.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		110.5	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	15.7	15.4	12.0	14.6
TOR	13.4	15.6	15.2	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-25	24	11.2	15.4	-4.26	15.1	14.9	0.12
Malik Rose	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-23	20	16.1	14.3	1.75	15.9	14.8	1.05
Maurice Taylor	31	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-29	32	14.3	14.7	-0.37	15.4	14.7	0.70
Antonio Davis	25	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-22	18	16.6	13.8	2.79	16.6	14.4	2.19
Channing Frye	43	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.28	-17	-9	-8	13.0	15.8	-2.76	14.0	15.7	-1.72
Nate Robinson	39	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.27	-18	-8	-10	14.7	14.5	0.24	15.5	14.5	1.02
Quentin Richardson	43	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.23	-18	-8	-10	13.7	15.3	-1.54	14.8	15.1	-0.25
Stephon Marbury	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-17	8	14.9	13.8	1.08	14.6	15.7	-1.03
David Lee	80	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.33	-23	-3	-20	14.3	16.1	-1.86	14.8	15.7	-0.86
Eddy Curry	52	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	-10	-6	15.8	13.2	2.61	14.8	15.1	-0.32
Jamal Crawford	68	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.31	-24	-2	-22	15.1	13.2	1.87	14.9	15.1	-0.20

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	74	72	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.40	31	-5	36	14.9	15.2	-0.32	14.9	13.7	1.15
Jose Calderon	76	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.27	23	3	20	14.9	15.0	-0.11	14.7	14.2	0.51
Joey Graham	56	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	13	0	14.4	15.7	-1.22	14.3	14.9	-0.55
Chris Bosh	60	60	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.30	20	6	14	15.0	14.9	0.06	15.1	13.6	1.49
Jalen Rose	47	45	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.28	18	8	10	15.5	14.5	1.05	14.7	14.4	0.30
Rafael Araujo	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	14	-2	14.5	15.2	-0.78	16.7	13.3	3.41
Charlie Villanueva	44	42	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.29	15	11	4	15.2	14.7	0.52	13.5	15.4	-1.99
Matt Bonner	27	26	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	26	-26	14.9	15.0	-0.05	14.7	14.5	0.22
Darrick Martin	23	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	23	-20	15.0	14.9	0.11	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Eric Williams	33	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	27	-28	15.5	14.7	0.83	13.7	15.0	-1.32
Aaron Williams	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	14.9	15.0	-0.04	9.9	15.4	-5.52
Loren Woods	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	14.3	15.0	-0.67	16.5	14.4	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 76, LAL 98	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DAL 99, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
UTA 86, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%