inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 114 Excitement10.8 [48] MVPSalim Stoudamire (ATL): +44.7%
Atlanta Hawks 106 Comeback10.1 [109] LVPJoe Johnson (ATL): -57.0%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0.260,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,0.19,0.260.050.20-0.012456%0.454-0.201173%0.05
Antonio Daniels0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.220.100.130.01964%0.2200.001090%0.06
Antawn Jamison0.100,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.10.110.040.041562%0.221-0.11786%0.01
Brendan Haywood0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00562%0.041-0.02667%-0.02
Andray Blatche0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Caron Butler-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.05-0.001951%0.011-0.027100%0.11
Donell Taylor-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00150%0.011-0.02475%-0.00
Calvin Booth-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.00250%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Awvee Storey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.040.00025%-0.0500.00425%-0.11
Jared Jeffries-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.070.00312%-0.102-0.07250%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Salim Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.450.450.100.34-0.011462%0.512-0.066100%0.04
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.150.180.00985%0.3200.002100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.030.01475%0.154-0.111275%0.01
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
John Edwards00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Esteban Batista00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00669%0.085-0.141100%0.01
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.09-0.00450%0.043-0.18683%0.01
Al Harrington0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.11-0.07-0.001532%-0.151-0.03850%-0.11
Joe Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.1,-0.24,-0.32,-0.37,-0.37,-0.46,-0.57-0.57-0.12-0.450.002445%-0.317-0.263100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.22.534.215.727.92.043.31.815.5165.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL -17.7%
WAS +30.0%
ATL -3.0%
WAS +28.4%
WAS +12.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASATLNBAWASATLNBA
this game15.114.915.6108.699.1104.4
season15.115.6107.4103.9
opponent15.515.6109.3105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
WAS16.313.513.919.011.815.1
ATL16.414.214.315.214.514.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antawn Jamison79810.86-0.361.220.5112-41615.513.81.7415.014.50.51
Antonio Daniels59590.56-0.060.610.1514-62015.814.21.6414.915.0-0.06
Jared Jeffries59600.430.070.360.2562413.716.8-3.1115.014.90.13
Caron Butler96980.410.090.330.3044014.818.3-3.5615.014.30.65
Gilbert Arenas91930.320.180.140.35-19-1015.015.6-0.5714.815.4-0.58
Brendan Haywood46500.270.230.050.1353215.414.80.5615.514.41.08
Donell Taylor14150.090.41-0.32-0.0653214.515.2-0.6615.314.90.40
Etan Thomas16160.070.43-0.360.0126-413.515.4-1.8613.715.1-1.38
Andray Blatche22-0.040.54-0.57-0.01-19-1017.515.02.4711.015.0-4.00
Michael Ruffin3836-0.120.62-0.73-0.2962417.313.83.4715.514.60.87
Awvee Storey1211-0.130.63-0.76-0.02-412-1614.815.1-0.2714.315.0-0.73
Calvin Booth1314-0.230.73-0.960.00-816-2413.015.4-2.3712.715.3-2.54

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Esteban Batista230.06-0.560.620.031-9106.515.1-8.598.015.3-7.28
John Edwards16140.03-0.530.550.08-2-6414.415.0-0.5714.615.2-0.58
Zaza Pachulia6464-0.07-0.430.37-0.184-121615.314.40.8515.813.91.93
Royal Ivey2118-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-5215.414.80.5715.415.00.38
Marvin Williams4946-0.16-0.340.19-0.01-5-3-213.216.4-3.1814.315.7-1.37
Josh Smith7674-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.05-91-1014.715.5-0.7914.616.2-1.54
Salim Stoudamire5354-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.19-6-2-415.314.50.7815.314.80.45
Joe Johnson9796-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.33-2-6415.212.72.4515.214.20.93
Josh Childress7878-0.520.02-0.54-0.28-80-815.014.60.4215.514.01.50
Al Harrington7978-0.620.12-0.75-0.33-102-1215.513.42.0815.015.3-0.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.45,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.55,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 111, LAC 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.31,0.28,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.32,0.28,0.57,0.04,089.9%
DET 106, BOS 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.28,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.43,0.04,089.4%
DAL 114, DEN 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.22,0.27,089.2%