inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 65 Excitement3.8 [1078] MVPEddie Jones (MEM): +6.7%
Memphis Grizzlies 87 Comeback1.1 [1175] LVPMehmet Okur (UTA): -14.5%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarron Collins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00362%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Greg Ostertag-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Robert Whaley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.01430%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Devin Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.011043%-0.0300.00333%-0.02
Kris Humphries-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Milt Palacio-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.04543%0.013-0.04450%-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko-0.040,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.010.021459%0.075-0.11667%-0.02
Matt Harpring-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.01233%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
Keith McLeod-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.00520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Deron Williams-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.00-0.03514%-0.061-0.02450%-0.01
Gordan Giricek-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.00-0.021217%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.140,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.16-0.01-0.021324%-0.083-0.063100%0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.011159%0.0700.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.01960%0.062-0.032100%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.041456%0.062-0.042075%-0.01
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.03450%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.011246%0.031-0.02450%-0.02
Lawrence Roberts00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00237%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.010.01948%0.002-0.039100%0.02
Antonio Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01250%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.100.00-0.0350%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.82.430.516.427.32.532.5137.4
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +35.0%
MEM +6.8%
UTA -6.1%
MEM +13.9%
MEM +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAMEMNBAUTAMEMNBA
this game16.916.415.675.6100.0104.4
season17.017.1101.7103.5
opponent15.715.0100.0104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA18.118.215.316.216.9
MEM15.317.817.415.116.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Milt Palacio4448-0.08-0.420.33-0.03-2-201815.118.8-3.7216.416.40.02
Greg Ostertag98-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-181415.017.2-2.1614.916.5-1.64
Robert Whaley3133-0.13-0.370.240.08-7-15818.416.12.3317.515.71.85
Kris Humphries1514-0.16-0.340.190.22-13-9-418.616.62.0215.816.5-0.69
Matt Harpring3637-0.18-0.320.150.00-6-161016.916.90.0215.916.7-0.88
Jarron Collins2221-0.22-0.280.070.11-11-11019.016.22.7218.115.82.28
Keith McLeod3939-0.22-0.280.07-0.04-6-161017.416.50.9317.315.61.61
Devin Brown4645-0.22-0.280.06-0.19-1-212017.116.80.2916.216.6-0.39
Deron Williams3131-0.24-0.260.030.29-18-4-1417.016.90.1614.517.4-2.93
Andrei Kirilenko6061-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.06-7-15815.919.3-3.4616.416.30.09
Mehmet Okur5152-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-13-9-416.218.1-1.9015.817.3-1.49
Gordan Giricek4646-0.38-0.12-0.250.27-220-2218.115.62.5316.915.71.20

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones66660.430.070.36-0.131931616.117.1-1.0216.518.4-1.98
Shane Battier67680.410.090.310.14913-416.416.30.0217.116.30.83
Pau Gasol74730.380.120.25-0.06157816.018.2-2.1915.922.9-7.06
Lorenzen Wright36380.320.180.14-0.3824-22617.715.42.2620.114.45.69
Bobby Jackson59580.320.180.13-0.09148616.815.51.2316.617.6-0.95
Mike Miller55530.240.26-0.02-0.081111016.416.30.0917.016.80.23
Antonio Burks28280.180.32-0.13-0.05814-615.516.8-1.2317.616.60.95
Dahntay Jones34320.160.34-0.170.02517-1217.215.81.4218.416.02.40
Hakim Warrick1080.060.44-0.37-0.08517-1214.916.6-1.6611.017.5-6.54
Lawrence Roberts330.000.50-0.500.00022-2212.316.5-4.1812.017.1-5.11
Anthony Roberson330.000.50-0.500.00022-2212.316.5-4.1812.017.1-5.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 84, LAC 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
PHI 87, CHA 1020.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,196.1%
POR 74, SAS 840.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,1,1,1,196.1%