NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	94		Excitement	2.5 [1269]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MEM): +10.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	104		Comeback	1.0 [1232]		LVP	Baron Davis (GSW): -6.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.03	8	95%	0.14	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Chris Taft	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	19	53%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	18	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	44%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	11	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	0.01	-0.06	9	35%	0.01	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	-0.00	-0.04	16	59%	0.11	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.00	-0.05	12	53%	0.10	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	14	68%	0.11	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	14	64%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	46%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	28.1	16.4	25.4	2.4	32.5	132.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.8%

MEM +6.1%

MEM +7.0%

MEM +5.2%

MEM +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	13.7	18.1	15.6	104.4	114.3	104.4
season	14.8	17.1		102.9	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.0	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.8	14.4	13.2	11.3	13.7
MEM	14.8	16.3	23.9	18.4	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	16	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-18	26	9.1	14.7	-5.58	18.8	17.9	0.93
Zarko Cabarkapa	28	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.31	10	-20	30	12.6	14.2	-1.60	19.0	17.7	1.31
Andris Biedrins	30	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-16	22	12.6	14.3	-1.67	17.8	18.2	-0.43
Chris Taft	17	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-7	4	15.8	13.2	2.53	18.4	18.0	0.40
Calbert Cheaney	3	4	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-5	0	21.3	13.4	7.89	15.2	18.2	-2.97
Mike Dunleavy	58	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-6	2	13.9	13.3	0.67	19.0	16.7	2.28
Ike Diogu	31	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.22	-18	8	-26	15.4	12.8	2.61	16.9	18.7	-1.75
Derek Fisher	61	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.37	2	-12	14	12.6	16.0	-3.33	18.2	17.8	0.38
Jason Richardson	81	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	13.5	15.7	-2.17	18.0	18.9	-0.86
Troy Murphy	58	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.06	-18	8	-26	14.3	12.6	1.78	17.6	18.9	-1.24
Baron Davis	67	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.10	-21	11	-32	14.6	11.1	3.47	17.9	18.6	-0.74

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	68	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.12	24	-14	38	17.4	20.0	-2.62	14.3	12.1	2.12
Shane Battier	77	75	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-9	28	18.0	18.6	-0.57	13.6	14.1	-0.43
Pau Gasol	81	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-3	16	18.3	16.6	1.67	14.3	10.0	4.28
Lorenzen Wright	76	75	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.12	21	-11	32	17.5	21.1	-3.65	14.2	11.3	2.93
Eddie Jones	78	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-6	22	17.9	19.0	-1.06	14.0	11.8	2.16
Hakim Warrick	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	10.5	18.3	-7.76	8.5	13.8	-5.33
Lawrence Roberts	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	10.5	18.3	-7.76	8.5	13.8	-5.33
Anthony Roberson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	10.5	18.3	-7.76	8.5	13.8	-5.33
Dahntay Jones	40	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.41	-15	25	-40	19.9	16.7	3.23	12.1	15.0	-2.95
Antonio Burks	23	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.33	-14	24	-38	20.0	17.4	2.62	12.1	14.3	-2.12
Brian Cardinal	6	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	15	-20	21.8	17.8	4.01	13.7	13.7	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
UTA 83, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHI 109, PHI 125	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%