NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	5.2 [778]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +16.6%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	90		Comeback	1.6 [387]		LVP	P.J. Brown (NOK): -12.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.08	-0.04	20	49%	0.17	0	0.00	9	100%	0.06
Jason Terry	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.02	-0.02	15	62%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	8	70%	0.10	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	16	51%	0.09	3	-0.09	7	57%	-0.02
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.07	13	64%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	13	47%	-0.02	4	-0.08	10	70%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	10	50%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	217.8	2.5	32.2	16.8	26.5	1.7	32.5	329.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +34.2%

DAL +4.5%

DAL +3.2%

DAL +3.8%

DAL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOK	NBA	DAL	NOK	NBA
this game	17.1	15.3	15.6	105.6	102.3	104.4
season	16.4	16.3		109.0	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.6		104.1	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.4	16.1	16.3	18.6	17.1
NOK	16.9	13.9	16.5	14.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	67	66	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-3	11	17.5	15.8	1.72	15.2	15.6	-0.48
Dirk Nowitzki	83	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	17.2	15.7	1.47	15.4	13.9	1.54
Jason Terry	73	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	2	1	17.4	15.5	1.90	15.2	15.5	-0.32
Jerry Stackhouse	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	2	1	16.7	17.5	-0.74	15.0	15.6	-0.65
Keith Van Horn	30	31	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	-3	11	16.0	17.6	-1.55	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Marquis Daniels	53	48	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	-2	9	16.0	18.6	-2.64	16.2	14.1	2.10
Erick Dampier	50	46	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.28	-1	6	-7	18.9	14.7	4.21	15.0	15.6	-0.62
DeSagana Diop	19	20	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	3	-1	15.1	17.6	-2.55	16.6	14.9	1.78
Devin Harris	24	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	15	-25	16.4	17.3	-0.89	13.9	15.8	-1.92

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	10	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	0	-5	14.9	15.3	-0.42	17.0	17.1	-0.08
Kirk Snyder	26	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	17.0	14.6	2.40	15.6	17.7	-2.09
Rasual Butler	49	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-6	7	15.3	15.3	-0.02	16.2	18.0	-1.88
Chris Paul	58	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-8	11	14.2	17.3	-3.13	17.9	15.4	2.49
P.J. Brown	67	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-6	7	14.9	16.5	-1.58	17.0	17.2	-0.22
J.R. Smith	47	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	7	-19	15.9	14.6	1.33	16.3	17.9	-1.62
Speedy Claxton	54	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-4	3	15.2	15.4	-0.13	17.9	15.9	1.96
Desmond Mason	74	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-2	-1	15.7	13.2	2.45	17.1	16.8	0.32
David West	55	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	0	-5	15.1	15.5	-0.39	17.5	16.2	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, NYK 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	95.2%
WAS 114, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
TOR 99, PHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.5%