NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	9.6 [105]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +18.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	95		Comeback	2.6 [753]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -34.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.08	0.05	0.02	16	69%	0.22	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,-0.03	-0.09	0.04	-0.01	13	40%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.07
Steven Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.22	-0.10	-0.11	0.01	25	46%	0.01	6	-0.23	11	73%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.35,-0.35	-0.11	-0.23	0.00	15	32%	-0.27	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.09,0.19	0.19	-0.02	0.22	0.01	28	47%	0.29	3	-0.11	3	67%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.07
Juan Dixon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.00	19	44%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.04
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	4	36%	-0.07	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	9	22%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	29.1	15.3	25.6	2.3	44.3	145.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -0.9%

PHI -5.6%

POR +40.2%

POR +14.6%

POR +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	12.5	16.3	15.6	90.1	96.0	104.4
season	15.2	16.6		104.1	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		109.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.6	10.8	15.2	11.2	12.5
POR	17.7	17.6	17.5	13.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	28	27	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.04	10	-14	24	11.1	13.1	-1.95	14.1	17.1	-2.99
Shavlik Randolph	11	10	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-6	8	10.2	12.8	-2.62	17.6	16.2	1.42
Matt Barnes	8	8	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-2	0	15.6	12.2	3.38	19.5	16.0	3.46
Samuel Dalembert	52	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-9	14	12.9	12.1	0.80	17.6	14.7	2.95
Steven Hunter	46	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	8	-20	12.5	12.5	0.05	15.7	16.8	-1.13
Allen Iverson	101	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	12.5	0.0	12.51	16.3	0.0	16.32
Chris Webber	90	89	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	0	-4	12.8	10.2	2.62	16.2	17.6	-1.42
Andre Iguodala	88	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	4	-12	12.3	13.7	-1.35	15.8	20.3	-4.56
Kyle Korver	81	79	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.46	-7	3	-10	12.6	12.1	0.52	16.8	14.5	2.28

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	78	77	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.41	10	-6	16	16.6	15.2	1.38	13.0	11.1	1.88
Jarrett Jack	49	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	-3	10	15.0	17.6	-2.62	12.2	12.8	-0.60
Juan Dixon	73	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	2	0	16.3	16.3	0.07	12.1	13.8	-1.76
Theo Ratliff	70	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	1	2	17.5	13.5	3.97	13.1	11.1	2.00
Steve Blake	55	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.29	-2	6	-8	16.4	16.2	0.13	12.2	13.0	-0.82
Martell Webster	29	28	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	1	2	14.7	17.0	-2.26	12.9	12.4	0.57
Travis Outlaw	35	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	-3	10	15.6	16.7	-1.16	12.6	12.5	0.15
Ha Seung-Jin	14	13	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	4	-4	17.3	16.2	1.12	11.0	12.7	-1.74
Ruben Patterson	51	54	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.36	-10	14	-24	15.6	17.1	-1.48	12.2	12.9	-0.75
Viktor Khryapa	41	42	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	4	-4	17.6	15.4	2.15	12.9	12.2	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.33,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 78, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.73,1	92.1%
MIA 74, NYK 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.69,1	91.5%
CHA 90, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.26,0.44,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.55,0.69,0.58,1	91.4%