NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	111		Excitement	8.5 [197]		MVP	Ronald Murray (SEA): +31.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	118		Comeback	2.6 [761]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -10.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.28,0.2	0.09	0.12	0.00	7	80%	0.22	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.16,0.16	0.17	-0.03	-0.02	25	61%	0.28	3	-0.13	21	76%	-0.06
Mark Blount	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.00	10	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Ryan Gomes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	18	51%	0.06	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.18	0.11	-0.03	15	72%	0.42	2	-0.11	10	70%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	8	67%	0.16	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	63%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	9	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.00	2	57%	0.12	1	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	13	46%	0.07	1	-0.04	13	92%	0.07
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	15	60%	0.28	4	-0.25	5	100%	0.07
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	34.3	16.5	28.8	0.8	39.2	146.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -22.2%

SEA +47.5%

SEA +50.3%

BOS -24.7%

BOS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SEA	NBA	BOS	SEA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.7	15.6	115.6	124.2	104.4
season	14.8	15.0		103.3	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.8		112.2	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.1	12.8	15.4	14.5	14.4
SEA	18.5	14.9	13.9	16.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	41	39	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.06	9	-16	25	14.1	14.6	-0.47	16.6	15.2	1.39
Orien Greene	11	11	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-10	13	10.3	15.0	-4.68	14.6	15.9	-1.26
Justin Reed	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-7	7	0.0	14.6	-14.57	12.0	15.8	-3.79
Ryan Gomes	21	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-5	3	13.9	14.6	-0.72	14.8	16.0	-1.21
Brian Scalabrine	2	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-5	3	11.0	14.5	-3.49	17.5	15.7	1.79
Al Jefferson	23	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-5	3	14.7	14.3	0.31	15.6	15.8	-0.22
Mark Blount	59	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-1	-5	14.3	14.6	-0.33	15.6	15.9	-0.33
Marcus Banks	41	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-4	1	14.2	14.5	-0.30	15.6	15.9	-0.32
Paul Pierce	81	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-4	1	14.6	13.6	0.97	15.8	15.7	0.07
Delonte West	63	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	1	-9	15.1	13.1	1.97	16.1	15.0	1.12
Ricky Davis	90	89	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.30	-9	2	-11	14.4	14.5	-0.09	16.0	12.5	3.47
Raef LaFrentz	47	48	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	5	-17	15.4	13.5	1.85	15.2	16.3	-1.05

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	83	83	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.22	14	-7	21	15.9	14.8	1.05	14.6	13.3	1.28
Ronald Murray	64	63	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-10	27	14.8	17.6	-2.77	15.0	13.3	1.70
Rashard Lewis	68	72	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-1	9	15.7	15.7	0.01	14.8	13.1	1.72
Damien Wilkins	17	16	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	4	-1	15.9	15.7	0.16	14.4	14.4	-0.05
Vitaly Potapenko	32	34	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	-1	9	16.7	15.3	1.42	15.8	13.7	2.13
Reggie Evans	42	45	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	2	3	16.0	15.5	0.50	15.7	13.3	2.39
Nick Collison	63	62	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	8	-9	15.3	16.7	-1.42	13.7	15.8	-2.13
Mateen Cleaves	11	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	10	-13	14.3	15.9	-1.67	12.2	14.7	-2.52
Danny Fortson	35	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	8	-9	15.5	15.9	-0.46	13.2	15.1	-1.92
Vladimir Radmanovic	36	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	11	-15	15.9	15.7	0.23	13.2	15.1	-1.93
Luke Ridnour	24	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.09	-11	18	-29	18.0	15.0	3.01	13.3	14.9	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.45,0.57,0.61,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.78,0.84,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.93,0.99,1	91.4%
DET 95, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.47,0.46,0.75,0.83,0.99,1,1	91.3%
MIA 95, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.9,0.91,1	90.9%