NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	9.1 [136]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +30.6%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	3.6 [245]		LVP	Jerome James (NYK): -14.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.13	0.18	-0.00	5	92%	0.31	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.26	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26	0.11	0.13	-0.01	21	56%	0.34	1	-0.08	13	92%	0.07
Jamaal Tinsley	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.23,0.23	0.05	0.16	-0.02	16	59%	0.29	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.08
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2	0.09	0.12	0.02	11	64%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.04
Austin Croshere	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	52%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Eddie Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.17	-0.01	10	60%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	56%	0.03	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.07
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,-0.08,0.01,0	0.00	0.02	-0.04	-0.02	14	45%	0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	3	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	7	38%	-0.03	1	-0.05	7	57%	-0.04
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,0.05,0.11,0.07,0,0,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	-0.02	23	45%	0.01	2	-0.11	9	89%	0.04
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	5	25%	-0.07	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	34.3	15.6	31.2	2.5	33.6	142.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +66.4%

IND +21.1%

NYK -45.5%

IND +7.0%

IND +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.6	112.1	105.5	104.4
season	16.0	15.7		102.3	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.7	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	15.0	18.5	14.9	15.9
NYK	14.6	13.8	16.6	18.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	82	80	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.33	17	-11	28	16.1	13.8	2.34	16.0	14.3	1.69
Austin Croshere	53	52	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-4	14	16.1	15.6	0.53	14.3	17.7	-3.43
Jamaal Tinsley	81	81	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.29	12	-6	18	15.4	19.6	-4.17	15.6	16.8	-1.17
Danny Granger	50	51	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-1	8	16.8	14.8	1.98	17.3	13.8	3.45
Sarunas Jasikevicius	77	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	0	6	16.1	14.9	1.14	15.5	16.9	-1.41
Eddie Gill	2	3	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	6	-6	12.0	16.0	-3.98	22.0	15.5	6.45
Stephen Jackson	39	39	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	11	-16	15.5	16.2	-0.71	13.7	17.3	-3.62
Anthony Johnson	42	43	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	11	-16	15.4	16.3	-0.95	17.3	14.3	3.02
Jeff Foster	29	30	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	18	-30	15.7	16.0	-0.34	15.9	15.7	0.21

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	19	20	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.02	4	-10	14	12.3	16.7	-4.35	16.0	15.9	0.14
Channing Frye	47	47	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-9	12	16.4	15.1	1.34	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Qyntel Woods	14	14	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-10	14	14.0	16.1	-2.08	16.1	15.9	0.21
Quentin Richardson	68	66	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.25	10	-16	26	15.4	16.7	-1.25	16.3	14.8	1.50
Malik Rose	15	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-1	-4	17.7	15.4	2.29	16.1	15.9	0.21
Antonio Davis	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.43	8	-14	22	16.1	15.3	0.81	15.8	16.0	-0.17
Jerome James	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	4	-14	14.7	16.3	-1.63	16.4	15.7	0.71
Jamal Crawford	53	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	-1	-4	17.0	14.0	3.02	15.2	16.9	-1.77
Trevor Ariza	58	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	8	-22	15.4	16.4	-0.95	16.2	15.2	1.08
Stephon Marbury	80	79	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	7	-20	15.7	15.8	-0.07	15.7	16.9	-1.18
Maurice Taylor	24	21	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.31	-12	6	-18	16.6	15.4	1.18	15.8	15.9	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.34,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.16,0	90.8%
ORL 76, HOU 74	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.85,0.16,0	90.8%
WAS 95, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.59,0	90.6%