inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 76 Excitement7.5 [343] MVPJameer Nelson (ORL): +47.3%
Houston Rockets 74 Comeback5.6 [179] LVPRafer Alston (HOU): -18.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jameer Nelson0.470,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.4,0.470.030.44-0.01771%0.512-0.0400%0.00
Bo Outlaw0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.00175%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Steve Francis-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.022648%0.092-0.11450%-0.01
Pat Garrity-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00350%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01950%0.042-0.07667%-0.01
Terence Morris-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.031-0.0500%0.00
Mario Kasun-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.050.0010%-0.041-0.0600%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.110,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.020.011043%-0.033-0.07875%0.02
Tony Battie-0.120,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.06-0.0150%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.06-0.080.011041%-0.082-0.072100%0.02

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.060.00662%0.141-0.054100%0.05
Yao Ming0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.050.05-0.000.060.011547%0.081-0.03683%0.01
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.011155%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.020.00275%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.040.00940%-0.0600.002100%0.02
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.01-0.060.04470%-0.032-0.072100%0.01
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.04-0.0040%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.06-0.100.02741%-0.002-0.183100%0.03
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.16,-0.18-0.18-0.13-0.06-0.001233%-0.084-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.430.217.526.52.635.6139.0
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +49.9%
HOU -14.6%
ORL +21.3%
HOU -7.9%
ORL +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLHOUNBAORLHOUNBA
this game17.615.915.686.488.1104.4
season16.416.1104.499.9
opponent16.115.7101.4105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.617.220.517.317.6
HOU16.517.914.414.715.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelvin Cato36330.94-0.441.390.5912-102218.117.20.9016.315.60.76
Steve Francis77720.75-0.251.000.586-41017.418.8-1.4216.214.21.99
DeShawn Stevenson72690.60-0.100.700.5420217.916.21.7015.219.0-3.81
Dwight Howard68640.480.020.450.53-24-618.016.01.9815.716.5-0.83
Jameer Nelson41400.420.080.330.3911017.018.1-1.0915.815.9-0.04
Bo Outlaw330.080.42-0.340.0220211.317.8-6.4714.715.9-1.25
Pat Garrity1413-0.070.57-0.650.01-35-818.417.41.0117.715.52.16
Hedo Turkoglu5048-0.070.57-0.65-0.163-1417.817.30.4217.214.13.08
Mario Kasun1616-0.160.66-0.82-0.04-46-1018.117.50.5913.416.4-3.00
Terence Morris2423-0.190.69-0.88-0.02-68-1417.817.50.3514.316.5-2.15
Tony Battie3939-0.270.77-1.04-0.24-13-416.318.6-2.3316.315.50.77

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Wesley34350.19-0.690.880.074-61016.015.80.2218.217.20.98
Luther Head26300.18-0.680.86-0.099-112013.616.9-3.2617.517.6-0.07
Dikembe Mutombo21210.07-0.570.640.13-20-217.615.32.3317.617.6-0.01
Ryan Bowen3234-0.05-0.450.39-0.03-1-1015.216.3-1.1518.017.30.73
Stromile Swift3941-0.13-0.370.24-0.223-5816.915.01.8717.417.7-0.31
Juwan Howard4446-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.21-42-615.316.5-1.1618.017.20.79
Jon Barry4447-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.400-2215.915.80.0817.517.7-0.15
Yao Ming6367-0.570.07-0.64-0.570-2215.317.6-2.3317.617.60.01
Derek Anderson5657-0.660.16-0.83-0.46-75-1216.115.50.5517.318.1-0.80
Rafer Alston6162-0.790.28-1.07-0.43-1210-2216.713.72.9917.218.6-1.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.85,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 88, CHI 830.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.75,0.54,0.84,0.15,091.2%
IND 102, NYK 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.34,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.27,090.8%
SEA 84, DEN 800.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.68,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.15,090.6%