NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	77		Excitement	7.0 [444]		MVP	Steve Blake (POR): +16.5%
Utah Jazz	82		Comeback	3.0 [751]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -21.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	7	86%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	13	53%	0.12	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Sergei Monia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.07
Martell Webster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Ha Seung-Jin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	10	37%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	7	75%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.08	0.01	18	48%	0.09	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.06	0.12	-0.03	13	43%	0.11	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	17	47%	0.03	2	-0.04	11	55%	-0.14
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	14	32%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.07	0.02	9	15%	-0.19	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	29.2	15.6	27.1	2.3	40.5	143.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +2.1%

POR -12.6%

UTA +44.4%

UTA +11.1%

UTA +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	17.0	19.0	15.6	97.5	101.2	104.4
season	16.6	17.0		99.4	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.9	16.8	17.1	16.0	17.0
UTA	18.9	15.9	20.8	20.8	19.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	25	25	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.13	9	-14	23	16.0	17.4	-1.35	19.4	18.8	0.62
Sergei Monia	13	12	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-6	7	15.5	17.3	-1.80	16.5	19.4	-2.95
Jarrett Jack	48	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.40	8	-13	21	16.0	18.5	-2.50	19.8	17.9	1.88
Ha Seung-Jin	20	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	4	-13	17.7	16.7	1.06	17.2	19.6	-2.40
Ruben Patterson	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-1	-3	16.8	17.1	-0.29	18.0	19.7	-1.74
Travis Outlaw	29	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-8	11	15.3	17.9	-2.66	21.0	17.9	3.10
Joel Przybilla	56	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.53	10	-15	25	16.8	17.4	-0.67	20.2	16.0	4.21
Viktor Khryapa	27	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	5	-15	18.9	15.9	2.98	18.7	19.2	-0.40
Martell Webster	23	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	6	-17	19.0	16.1	2.87	18.5	19.2	-0.69
Sebastian Telfair	31	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	8	-21	18.5	16.0	2.50	17.9	19.8	-1.88
Steve Blake	35	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	1	-7	16.1	17.6	-1.52	18.2	19.7	-1.42
Zach Randolph	53	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	17.4	16.1	1.26	19.2	18.6	0.60

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	51	53	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.29	16	-11	27	20.0	17.4	2.61	18.2	14.3	3.90
Deron Williams	57	59	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-9	23	19.5	18.0	1.50	17.7	14.8	2.83
Devin Brown	57	57	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-10	25	19.4	18.2	1.20	17.7	15.1	2.59
Andrei Kirilenko	72	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-4	13	19.2	17.9	1.26	17.0	16.5	0.51
Mehmet Okur	63	62	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-1	7	19.2	18.5	0.66	17.7	14.4	3.32
Matt Harpring	43	39	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.36	-11	16	-27	18.2	19.9	-1.76	15.7	18.1	-2.41
Andre Owens	12	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	6	-7	20.0	18.8	1.16	14.5	17.4	-2.91
Kris Humphries	14	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	10	-15	16.6	19.5	-2.86	11.2	18.0	-6.74
Milt Palacio	14	12	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	12	-19	15.9	19.7	-3.81	14.9	17.3	-2.41
Keith McLeod	22	19	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	16	-27	18.4	19.2	-0.83	15.3	17.5	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.78,0.95,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 105, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.97,1,1	93.4%
LAC 89, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.95,0.98,1,1	92.9%
UTA 90, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.69,0.63,0.91,1,1	92.8%