NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	4.2 [995]		MVP	Mark Blount (BOS): +12.9%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	87		Comeback	1.1 [621]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NOK): -13.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.02	10	76%	0.20	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Ricky Davis	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	18	62%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	11	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.02	0.04	14	64%	0.09	3	-0.05	16	81%	0.03
Ryan Gomes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Delonte West	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	20	62%	0.13	4	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.04	11	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.04
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	10	32%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.02	11	39%	-0.07	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	0.8	30.5	15.0	32.4	2.0	27.3	133.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.5%

BOS +14.7%

BOS +1.8%

NOK -6.4%

BOS +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOK	NBA	BOS	NOK	NBA
this game	14.7	16.2	15.6	107.4	93.5	104.4
season	14.8	16.3		103.3	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.8		104.1	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.9	13.6	14.6	16.7	14.7
NOK	16.7	16.4	15.5	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-1	16	14.9	14.0	0.93	16.0	16.5	-0.54
Ricky Davis	79	79	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	-2	18	14.6	15.0	-0.41	16.0	16.9	-0.92
Paul Pierce	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	13	1	12	14.2	16.2	-1.96	16.3	15.5	0.77
Al Jefferson	41	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	6	2	15.0	14.4	0.69	17.2	15.4	1.86
Delonte West	66	66	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	3	8	15.0	13.8	1.19	16.0	16.6	-0.68
Orien Greene	38	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	9	-4	14.7	14.6	0.13	16.7	15.8	0.95
Kendrick Perkins	38	37	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	12	-10	13.4	15.5	-2.03	15.8	16.4	-0.61
Raef LaFrentz	40	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	9	-4	14.7	14.6	0.16	16.1	16.2	-0.09
Ryan Gomes	25	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	17	-20	15.0	14.5	0.52	15.1	16.5	-1.44
Justin Reed	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	19.0	14.6	4.43	16.0	16.2	-0.15

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	16.0	16.2	-0.16	19.7	14.5	5.17
Brandon Bass	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	16.0	16.2	-0.16	19.7	14.5	5.17
Jackson Vroman	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-20	26	15.9	16.3	-0.42	15.5	14.3	1.15
Rasual Butler	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-14	14	16.4	16.0	0.42	15.6	14.0	1.63
Chris Andersen	13	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-4	-6	16.7	16.1	0.63	15.0	14.6	0.40
J.R. Smith	59	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-10	6	16.2	16.1	0.01	14.3	15.2	-0.82
Desmond Mason	56	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	0	-14	16.0	16.4	-0.42	14.0	15.6	-1.63
Speedy Claxton	57	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-2	-10	16.4	15.8	0.61	15.1	14.0	1.05
P.J. Brown	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	1	-16	16.1	16.2	-0.10	14.2	15.7	-1.44
David West	77	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-3	-8	16.2	15.9	0.26	14.5	15.5	-1.04
Chris Paul	67	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	0	-14	16.0	16.7	-0.70	14.4	15.4	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, ATL 74	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
SAS 116, SAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
MIN 95, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%