NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	2.3 [1287]		MVP	Jason Williams (MIA): +12.4%
Miami Heat	107		Comeback	1.0 [1250]		LVP	Jackie Butler (NYK): -5.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.08	6	100%	0.01	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	12	64%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	6	69%	0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	14	51%	-0.01	2	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	16	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jackie Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.01	10	78%	0.13	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	12	73%	0.09	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	19	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	18	83%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.03	4	82%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Fitch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	45%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	9	45%	-0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.6	29.0	17.4	24.4	2.5	29.3	134.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +31.3%

MIA +12.9%

MIA +4.2%

MIA +2.7%

NYK -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.6	104.4	120.2	104.4
season	15.7	15.5		102.1	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.3	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	19.1	16.4	12.6	15.8
MIA	15.9	12.8	16.3	20.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.28	7	-20	27	13.0	16.5	-3.49	17.9	16.0	1.98
Trevor Ariza	41	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.46	11	-24	35	13.9	17.3	-3.42	18.2	14.9	3.33
Maurice Taylor	28	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-11	9	18.3	14.6	3.71	17.0	16.1	0.82
Jamal Crawford	39	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.40	8	-21	29	16.2	15.4	0.82	18.0	15.1	2.85
Nate Robinson	47	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-14	15	15.8	15.8	-0.00	16.3	16.5	-0.22
Jackie Butler	23	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-9	5	16.9	15.4	1.54	17.5	16.0	1.54
Malik Rose	24	23	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-2	-9	17.7	15.1	2.59	12.6	17.7	-5.13
Antonio Davis	43	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.31	-20	7	-27	15.7	15.8	-0.09	15.2	17.5	-2.28
Channing Frye	66	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	0	-13	15.4	16.7	-1.28	16.5	16.3	0.17
Quentin Richardson	52	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.27	-21	8	-29	15.4	16.2	-0.77	15.1	18.0	-2.85
Stephon Marbury	67	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.27	-21	8	-29	15.9	15.3	0.62	16.3	16.7	-0.40

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	63	66	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.32	28	-15	43	16.1	17.2	-1.15	15.4	16.7	-1.28
James Posey	74	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	3	7	15.8	19.5	-3.67	15.8	15.4	0.48
Alonzo Mourning	45	47	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.33	27	-14	41	15.5	17.4	-1.87	16.0	15.5	0.53
Jason Williams	59	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.21	18	-5	23	15.4	18.4	-3.04	16.7	13.9	2.81
Udonis Haslem	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	2	9	17.4	13.3	4.18	15.6	16.3	-0.66
Gary Payton	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	14	-15	17.2	15.7	1.49	16.3	15.4	0.91
Antoine Walker	42	42	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.37	-7	20	-27	16.7	16.1	0.61	15.2	16.2	-0.99
Michael Doleac	37	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	19	-25	16.6	16.3	0.31	16.3	15.5	0.80
Dorell Wright	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	24	-35	19.8	15.8	3.93	11.9	16.4	-4.44
Gerald Fitch	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	17.2	16.4	0.87	13.7	15.9	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
DEN 98, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
UTA 72, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%