NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	98		Excitement	2.2 [1247]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +18.4%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	1.1 [1241]		LVP	Junior Harrington (DEN): -7.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donnell Harvey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	89%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.08	10	65%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Savovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	17	53%	-0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Vincent Yarbrough	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	6	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	0.00	0.07	6	67%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Nene	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	11	50%	-0.00	4	-0.06	6	33%	-0.02
Junior Harrington	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	6	31%	-0.03	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.21	0.01	0.04	24	69%	0.18	0	0.00	14	79%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.12	0.00	-0.12	3	0%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	70%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.04	12	66%	0.00	3	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	4	62%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	29.8	16.0	29.2	2.7	26.0	128.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +28.7%

ORL +3.0%

ORL +6.6%

ORL +11.6%

ORL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	ORL	NBA	DEN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.5	100.0	113.3	101.6
season	15.7	14.6		90.4	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.3		103.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.2	17.5	14.7	12.6	14.7
ORL	15.2	12.5	14.7	16.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney White	36	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.59	20	-33	53	13.2	15.6	-2.31	15.8	14.0	1.75
Ryan Bowen	18	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-17	21	14.3	14.8	-0.53	13.8	14.9	-1.10
Predrag Savovic	14	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-9	5	16.9	14.4	2.50	14.6	14.7	-0.04
Marcus Camby	27	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-12	11	16.5	14.0	2.44	13.6	15.1	-1.44
Chris Andersen	41	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-16	19	14.5	14.8	-0.31	14.9	14.5	0.47
Donnell Harvey	21	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-2	-9	17.3	14.0	3.27	13.3	15.0	-1.73
Shammond Williams	44	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-15	17	14.8	14.6	0.15	15.1	14.3	0.80
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	59	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-7	1	13.9	15.9	-1.97	15.4	13.5	1.89
Junior Harrington	54	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.18	-15	2	-17	14.6	14.8	-0.15	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Juwan Howard	57	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.15	-16	3	-19	14.8	14.5	0.31	14.5	14.9	-0.47
Nene	71	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-1	-11	14.0	16.5	-2.44	15.1	13.6	1.44
Vincent Yarbrough	48	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.46	-29	16	-45	15.2	14.3	0.93	13.9	15.5	-1.61

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	64	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.34	29	-16	45	13.6	16.6	-2.98	15.7	12.9	2.85
Drew Gooden	46	46	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	-4	21	14.5	14.8	-0.29	16.0	13.6	2.46
Pat Garrity	65	64	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	3	7	13.9	16.2	-2.27	14.5	15.1	-0.66
Andrew DeClercq	36	36	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	9	-5	12.5	15.9	-3.39	15.9	14.0	1.90
Darrell Armstrong	33	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.06	10	3	7	14.5	14.8	-0.33	16.2	13.9	2.30
Gordan Giricek	68	70	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	2	9	15.1	13.7	1.45	14.9	14.3	0.60
Shawn Kemp	40	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	-2	17	15.1	14.3	0.81	15.4	14.2	1.20
Jacque Vaughn	37	37	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	9	-5	14.8	14.6	0.22	15.1	14.5	0.59
Chris Whitney	28	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	14	-15	14.7	14.6	0.11	12.4	15.6	-3.20
Steven Hunter	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	19	-25	17.3	13.9	3.41	11.5	15.7	-4.20
Pat Burke	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	25	-37	16.2	14.3	1.89	11.1	15.4	-4.29
Jeryl Sasser	34	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.46	-16	29	-45	16.6	13.6	2.98	12.9	15.7	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
IND 80, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
NYK 94, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%