NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	8.2 [245]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +22.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	9.7 [215]		LVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): -24.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.00	12	69%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike James	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.13	0.00	0.10	-0.02	15	44%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.03
Chris Bosh	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	16	53%	0.06	0	0.00	13	77%	-0.05
Jose Calderon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Joey Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11	0.02	-0.13	0.00	8	56%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0.00	12	46%	-0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.16	-0.10	-0.02	12	21%	-0.20	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.12	0.02	12	73%	0.36	5	-0.14	17	88%	0.09
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.11	-0.00	14	60%	0.21	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.06
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.00	0.01	17	70%	0.21	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	6	83%	0.23	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	11	42%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.6	30.2	15.6	27.4	2.3	38.4	139.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +93.6%

LAC +2.9%

TOR -11.5%

TOR -33.9%

TOR -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	17.3	14.0	15.6	107.5	113.2	104.4
season	15.6	15.2		107.3	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.1	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.5	14.7	19.3	16.6	17.3
LAC	13.4	16.6	12.0	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	28	27	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-6	9	16.1	17.8	-1.74	17.4	12.5	4.82
Charlie Villanueva	37	36	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.12	-3	0	-3	16.9	17.5	-0.62	16.4	12.4	4.08
Jose Calderon	36	32	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-3	3	15.5	18.4	-2.97	17.0	12.4	4.61
Rafael Araujo	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	3	-9	20.0	16.2	3.87	13.1	14.3	-1.23
Chris Bosh	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.48	5	-8	13	17.4	16.9	0.56	13.2	16.3	-3.03
Mike James	77	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-3	3	17.3	17.1	0.20	13.7	15.3	-1.62
Matt Bonner	53	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.46	-2	-1	-1	16.0	19.0	-3.09	13.7	14.3	-0.66
Jalen Rose	64	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	3	-9	18.0	15.7	2.38	12.5	17.4	-4.82
Morris Peterson	74	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.46	-6	3	-9	18.0	14.7	3.28	13.0	18.4	-5.45

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	78	77	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-7	17	13.2	18.6	-5.41	18.3	12.4	5.94
Chris Kaman	57	56	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-7	17	13.1	15.5	-2.48	18.3	15.8	2.46
Sam Cassell	72	72	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.51	4	-1	5	12.4	19.8	-7.41	18.1	14.5	3.63
Corey Maggette	76	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.52	-1	4	-5	12.8	19.9	-7.13	17.5	16.3	1.18
Cuttino Mobley	84	86	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	-4	11	13.8	16.3	-2.50	17.5	14.9	2.63
Quinton Ross	33	36	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	3	-3	16.7	12.4	4.27	15.8	18.2	-2.47
Zeljko Rebraca	18	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.06	-1	4	-5	19.7	12.6	7.09	13.9	18.2	-4.32
Daniel Ewing	25	26	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.16	-2	5	-7	18.8	12.1	6.70	14.6	18.3	-3.71
Chris Wilcox	12	13	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.05	-12	15	-27	15.3	13.8	1.56	14.8	17.7	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.22,0.24,0.45,0.66,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.33,0.45,0.54,0.43,0.92,1	91.0%
SAC 95, LAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.43,0.73,1	90.5%
DAL 107, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.68,0.74,1	90.1%