NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	6.3 [553]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +30.3%
Golden State Warriors	100		Comeback	1.6 [935]		LVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): -6.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	11	50%	0.12	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	9	52%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Zoran Planinic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,0	0.00	-0.05	-0.04	15	53%	0.02	3	-0.02	13	85%	0.03
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	17	49%	-0.00	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.3	0.30	0.13	0.16	-0.01	15	69%	0.34	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	15	67%	0.18	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	13	58%	0.17	5	-0.09	10	90%	0.05
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	17	45%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Miles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.4	16.3	27.5	1.7	38.2	137.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +53.6%

GSW +8.3%

NJN -9.6%

NJN -11.6%

GSW +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	GSW	NBA	NJN	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	15.8	15.6	106.6	111.1	104.4
season	15.7	14.8		102.1	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		104.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.4	17.6	16.8	13.4	16.1
GSW	14.3	15.1	14.4	19.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	45	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-2	1	16.6	15.6	1.01	14.5	17.0	-2.48
Zoran Planinic	32	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.31	7	-10	17	14.5	16.9	-2.42	18.4	14.3	4.16
Scott Padgett	33	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-1	-1	15.7	16.3	-0.63	16.3	15.5	0.82
Marc Jackson	20	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	5	-13	16.3	16.0	0.36	14.6	16.1	-1.49
Vince Carter	38	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	4	-11	17.6	15.0	2.55	13.8	17.3	-3.51
Jeff McInnis	63	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.41	5	-8	13	15.7	16.8	-1.09	17.1	12.9	4.22
Nenad Krstic	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.44	2	-5	7	16.2	15.9	0.30	16.2	14.8	1.34
Richard Jefferson	87	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	16.0	16.5	-0.45	15.6	19.2	-3.66
Jason Kidd	74	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.40	-9	6	-15	16.0	16.4	-0.35	15.2	18.3	-3.11

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	59	61	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.23	14	-11	25	15.4	16.5	-1.16	15.4	17.5	-2.09
Derek Fisher	58	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	3	-3	17.2	13.2	4.03	15.4	17.2	-1.70
Jason Richardson	70	73	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.36	-1	4	-5	14.9	18.8	-3.98	16.1	16.0	0.08
Adonal Foyle	73	74	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	1	1	15.6	16.4	-0.81	16.6	13.9	2.61
Baron Davis	75	76	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.38	-4	7	-11	15.5	17.0	-1.49	15.9	16.9	-0.96
Calbert Cheaney	17	16	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	-2	7	17.6	15.3	2.33	14.9	16.3	-1.37
Andris Biedrins	17	17	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	2	-1	16.4	15.6	0.81	13.9	16.6	-2.61
Aaron Miles	8	9	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	-1	5	18.2	15.5	2.74	15.9	16.1	-0.20
Mike Dunleavy	55	53	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	4	-5	14.8	17.3	-2.46	17.8	13.7	4.13
Mickael Pietrus	18	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	8	-13	16.9	15.5	1.49	17.0	15.8	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 85, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.91,1	94.1%
SEA 91, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.95,0.96,1	94.0%
NYK 93, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%