NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	2.8 [1226]		MVP	Metta World Peace (IND): +9.8%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	1.5 [987]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -6.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	13	69%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	9	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	9	39%	-0.04	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.18	-0.00	0.08	15	75%	0.13	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.04	17	51%	0.09	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	60%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.16	0.02	0.12	8	106%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	7	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	28.6	16.4	24.4	2.4	30.4	126.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.9%

IND +12.1%

IND +11.3%

NJN -4.5%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	17.4	15.6	103.4	120.0	104.4
season	15.7	16.0		102.1	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.7	14.6	17.3	17.1	16.1
IND	17.0	17.5	16.1	18.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	6	6	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-12	12	14.7	16.3	-1.59	20.5	17.1	3.39
Linton Johnson	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-22	32	14.2	16.4	-2.25	20.3	16.9	3.35
Lamond Murray	26	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.39	13	-25	38	16.8	15.9	0.99	18.6	16.8	1.77
Zoran Planinic	30	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.36	11	-23	34	16.4	16.0	0.33	18.7	16.6	2.08
Marc Jackson	43	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.28	7	-19	26	16.2	16.1	0.03	17.5	17.2	0.35
Scott Padgett	55	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-13	14	16.3	15.8	0.48	17.1	17.7	-0.61
Jeff McInnis	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-4	-4	16.3	16.0	0.25	17.4	17.3	0.05
Nenad Krstic	44	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	7	-26	16.1	16.2	-0.03	17.2	17.5	-0.35
Jason Kidd	57	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.21	-23	11	-34	16.0	16.4	-0.33	16.6	18.7	-2.08
Vince Carter	58	57	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.23	-25	13	-38	16.0	16.5	-0.50	16.7	18.7	-2.08
Richard Jefferson	54	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.24	-27	15	-42	16.3	15.9	0.34	16.8	18.3	-1.59

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	61	62	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.28	30	-18	48	16.8	18.7	-1.83	17.0	14.2	2.79
Stephen Jackson	69	71	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-3	18	17.1	18.6	-1.57	16.5	14.6	1.94
Anthony Johnson	49	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	-15	42	17.3	17.5	-0.21	16.7	15.4	1.25
Metta World Peace	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.19	22	-10	32	17.1	18.2	-1.17	16.6	14.8	1.84
Austin Croshere	36	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	0	12	16.5	18.0	-1.53	17.3	15.3	1.95
Fred Jones	60	61	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	14	-16	18.0	15.7	2.37	15.9	16.7	-0.77
Samaki Walker	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	22	-32	20.6	17.0	3.61	11.9	16.6	-4.71
Sarunas Jasikevicius	34	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.47	-17	29	-46	18.0	16.9	1.13	14.4	17.3	-2.93
Danny Granger	32	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.41	-15	27	-42	18.0	17.0	0.99	14.3	17.4	-3.02
Jamaal Tinsley	11	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	14	-16	16.9	17.4	-0.51	16.1	16.2	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 81, IND 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
TOR 91, WAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
SAC 91, NYK 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%