NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	9.9 [75]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +56.0%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	7.0 [224]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -41.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.08
Jerome Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Jermaine Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Tim Thomas	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.03	0.01	11	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Sweetney	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.05,-0.42	-0.13	-0.28	-0.00	24	46%	-0.23	6	-0.19	4	25%	-0.21

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.42,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56	0.56	0.26	0.31	0.01	21	77%	0.56	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.11	-0.01	15	52%	0.31	2	-0.20	1	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.07	-0.01	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.08
Othella Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	5	33%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	0.00	10	27%	-0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.13,-0.34	-0.34	-0.08	-0.26	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	3	-0.37	2	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	23.5	16.3	23.3	2.5	40.4	131.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +38.6%

CHI +48.9%

NYK -6.0%

NYK -31.3%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	16.4	14.2	15.5	96.8	97.9	104.0
season	15.8	15.1		103.9	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		98.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.4	19.0	15.5	17.3	16.4
CHI	15.0	14.6	13.3	14.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	39	37	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.08	-1	0	-1	18.4	15.1	3.29	14.2	14.2	0.02
Maurice Taylor	44	42	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.14	6	-7	13	16.8	16.1	0.68	15.4	13.2	2.17
Malik Rose	44	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-1	1	15.7	17.1	-1.46	14.5	13.9	0.65
Tim Thomas	16	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	2	-5	16.9	16.3	0.53	14.4	14.2	0.21
Kurt Thomas	71	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-5	9	15.2	20.4	-5.24	14.0	14.8	-0.78
Jermaine Jackson	38	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-4	7	18.3	15.1	3.20	14.3	14.1	0.20
Jamal Crawford	90	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.52	5	-6	11	16.0	27.0	-11.03	14.3	11.2	3.08
Michael Sweetney	21	23	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	3	-7	17.4	16.2	1.28	14.3	14.2	0.08
Stephon Marbury	60	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	9	-19	15.9	17.3	-1.39	13.9	14.7	-0.76
Trevor Ariza	47	47	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	4	-9	16.6	16.3	0.28	13.0	15.4	-2.45

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	68	68	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.44	10	-9	19	14.2	14.3	-0.09	16.4	16.4	0.02
Antonio Davis	73	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.43	7	-6	13	14.1	14.5	-0.35	16.9	15.2	1.65
Chris Duhon	89	89	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.44	2	-1	3	13.9	19.0	-5.07	16.5	14.8	1.73
Ben Gordon	45	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	2	-3	13.2	15.2	-2.01	14.7	18.1	-3.45
Andres Nocioni	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.64	-8	9	-17	14.0	14.5	-0.48	16.7	16.0	0.65
Adrian Griffin	11	12	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	-3	7	14.8	14.1	0.70	15.2	16.6	-1.46
Jannero Pargo	17	15	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	1	-1	14.9	14.0	0.90	18.1	16.1	1.94
Eric Piatkowski	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	2	-3	16.7	13.9	2.73	20.7	16.0	4.68
Tyson Chandler	49	52	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	1	-1	13.6	14.9	-1.32	16.1	16.9	-0.80
Othella Harrington	48	48	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	6	-11	15.8	12.6	3.21	16.7	16.1	0.60
Lawrence Funderburke	3	2	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	4	-7	15.3	14.2	1.17	9.5	16.6	-7.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.32,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.53,0.37,0.26,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.39,0.33,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 86, TOR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.66,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.99,1	90.5%
LAL 92, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.74,1	90.3%
IND 89, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.53,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.58,1	90.3%