NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	104		Excitement	9.1 [134]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +43.9%
Washington Wizards	106		Comeback	18.6 [96]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CHA): -54.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.15	0.00	10	73%	0.28	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Jason Hart	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	14	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	79%	0.22	3	-0.16	8	100%	0.08
Keith Bogans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	15	53%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Malik Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.54	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.54	-0.15	-0.38	0.01	13	38%	-0.33	5	-0.21	3	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.44	0.44	0.07	0.37	-0.01	18	65%	0.51	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	22	58%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.02	21	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.16
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	7	33%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	26.2	15.3	26.5	1.5	34.7	130.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +46.9%

CHA -12.3%

CHA -0.7%

WAS +13.1%

WAS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	15.5	104.0	106.0	104.0
season	15.5	14.7		99.0	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.1		105.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.3	14.5	14.5	14.3	14.8
WAS	14.4	15.5	13.7	12.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	65	67	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.18	5	-7	12	14.2	16.1	-1.92	14.3	13.3	0.94
Jason Kapono	63	62	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.32	17	-19	36	14.4	15.6	-1.24	14.7	12.8	1.85
Cory Alexander	12	11	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-8	14	13.5	15.0	-1.52	17.2	13.6	3.62
Matt Carroll	54	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.50	8	-10	18	13.9	15.9	-2.03	14.2	13.7	0.45
Jason Hart	56	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.52	4	-6	10	14.5	15.3	-0.77	14.5	13.3	1.14
Keith Bogans	79	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	1	-4	14.7	15.4	-0.68	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Melvin Ely	58	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	14	-30	15.6	13.9	1.69	13.4	14.7	-1.30
Malik Allen	42	43	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.18	-14	12	-26	16.0	14.0	2.04	13.1	14.6	-1.56
Brevin Knight	71	72	-1.04	0.54	-1.58	-0.54	-17	15	-32	15.9	12.1	3.81	13.2	15.9	-2.68

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	87	88	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-8	18	13.3	18.2	-4.91	15.1	12.7	2.38
Antawn Jamison	88	88	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-10	22	13.5	17.0	-3.45	15.2	12.2	3.04
Larry Hughes	95	95	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-5	12	14.0	14.0	-0.04	14.9	14.6	0.25
Juan Dixon	40	40	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.52	-5	7	-12	13.9	14.0	-0.14	14.1	15.3	-1.28
Brendan Haywood	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	-10	22	13.5	14.4	-0.84	16.4	13.3	3.16
Jared Jeffries	54	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.50	-8	10	-18	14.8	12.9	1.90	14.6	15.1	-0.43
Anthony Peeler	15	16	0.20	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	-6	14	12.4	14.2	-1.84	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Steve Blake	13	13	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	11	-20	16.9	13.5	3.41	13.7	15.0	-1.32
Kwame Brown	21	21	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	12	-22	15.5	13.6	1.92	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Etan Thomas	37	38	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.10	-7	9	-16	14.6	13.6	0.96	13.0	16.0	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.27,0.31,0.54,0.22,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 95, LAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.22,0.19,0.54,0.45,0.23,1	91.3%
DAL 98, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.42,1	90.2%
NYK 104, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.47,0.69,0.57,0.42,1	89.8%