NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	11.0 [38]		MVP	Michael Sweetney (NYK): +16.5%
Washington Wizards	106		Comeback	9.5 [206]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -37.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Sweetney	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	0.00	7	87%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,0.08,0.08	-0.04	0.12	0.00	9	44%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	11	74%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.02	11	64%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	12	38%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.12,0.04,-0.05,-0.26	-0.02	-0.24	0.00	19	47%	-0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.07	-0.05	0.10	-0.01	9	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	12	42%	-0.23
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	7	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	12	56%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	7	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,0.09,0.02,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	25	48%	0.10	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.37	-0.37	-0.11	-0.29	-0.02	24	40%	-0.25	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	26.2	17.5	25.3	1.8	30.4	127.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -12.4%

WAS +11.3%

WAS +37.1%

WAS +7.1%

WAS +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	16.5	14.4	15.5	111.8	114.0	104.0
season	15.8	14.7		103.9	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.3		105.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.8	17.4	14.6	17.7	16.5
WAS	13.9	15.4	13.6	15.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	44	42	0.46	-0.96	1.42	-0.13	20	-22	42	16.0	17.0	-0.96	14.5	14.4	0.02
Allan Houston	39	39	0.45	-0.95	1.41	-0.07	18	-20	38	15.9	17.0	-1.04	14.2	14.6	-0.36
Moochie Norris	22	23	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.06	6	-8	14	15.0	17.0	-1.94	14.3	14.5	-0.18
Vin Baker	16	15	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.08	9	-11	20	15.7	16.7	-0.94	14.7	14.4	0.27
Trevor Ariza	8	8	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.02	5	-7	12	15.2	16.6	-1.40	16.6	14.2	2.39
Michael Sweetney	34	34	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-4	6	16.9	16.3	0.56	14.6	14.3	0.28
Kurt Thomas	64	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.47	-4	2	-6	16.3	17.0	-0.69	14.5	14.4	0.07
Nazr Mohammed	59	60	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.27	-13	11	-24	16.6	16.4	0.23	14.4	14.5	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	73	72	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.50	-10	8	-18	17.1	14.3	2.77	14.4	14.5	-0.05
Tim Thomas	44	45	-0.95	0.45	-1.39	-0.36	-20	18	-38	16.8	16.3	0.55	14.8	14.1	0.61
Jamal Crawford	62	62	-1.05	0.55	-1.60	-0.38	-23	21	-44	17.2	15.2	2.00	14.0	15.4	-1.47

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	54	55	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.46	14	-12	26	13.9	15.3	-1.40	16.5	16.6	-0.04
Brendan Haywood	70	71	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.51	12	-10	22	14.0	15.7	-1.61	16.7	15.9	0.87
Larry Hughes	73	72	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.51	11	-9	20	13.9	16.4	-2.50	16.3	17.4	-1.10
Gilbert Arenas	79	78	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-11	24	14.1	16.3	-2.17	17.0	13.9	3.09
Antawn Jamison	86	86	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.39	9	-7	16	14.3	16.3	-2.00	17.0	11.1	5.82
Anthony Peeler	11	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	9	-16	17.2	14.1	3.11	16.2	16.6	-0.32
Samaki Walker	9	8	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	11	-20	17.2	14.1	3.08	13.9	16.8	-2.90
Jarvis Hayes	37	37	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.05	-10	12	-22	15.0	14.1	0.88	16.1	16.8	-0.70
Michael Ruffin	23	22	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.06	-10	12	-22	15.7	14.0	1.61	15.9	16.7	-0.87
Juan Dixon	23	24	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.04	-13	15	-28	16.0	13.9	2.01	15.8	16.8	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.47,0.69,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 95, LAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.22,0.19,0.54,0.45,0.23,1	91.2%
SAS 99, WAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.77,0.59,1	90.6%
DET 87, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.42,1	90.5%