NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	6.8 [479]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +13.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Comeback	2.0 [411]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -30.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.13	0.05	0.05	-0.02	16	66%	0.22	3	-0.09	6	33%	-0.02
Maurice Taylor	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.07	-0.02	12	57%	0.16	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Jerome Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.08	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	12	32%	-0.08	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Malik Rose	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	5	19%	-0.10	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	12	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	8	59%	-0.04	3	-0.10	6	17%	-0.08
Ira Newble	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	14	36%	-0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.24,-0.31	-0.31	-0.17	-0.13	0.00	25	42%	-0.15	4	-0.16	14	64%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.3	26.3	14.8	27.2	2.5	35.4	129.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +69.2%

NYK +0.6%

CLE -29.4%

NYK +9.2%

NYK +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	16.0	15.5	106.7	100.0	104.0
season	15.8	16.2		103.9	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	21.1	15.6	13.7	16.3
CLE	15.0	16.8	15.0	17.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	42	42	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.36	15	-9	24	17.1	15.6	1.43	17.2	15.0	2.21
Jermaine Jackson	34	33	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-5	16	16.1	16.4	-0.27	17.4	15.2	2.19
Jerome Williams	46	46	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-3	12	16.2	16.4	-0.16	16.6	15.4	1.17
Malik Rose	54	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	1	4	16.5	16.1	0.38	16.2	15.8	0.45
Jamal Crawford	81	80	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.30	2	4	-2	15.9	21.0	-5.15	16.0	16.4	-0.44
Trevor Ariza	8	9	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	2	2	21.0	15.9	5.15	16.4	16.0	0.44
Tim Thomas	35	36	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	5	-4	16.1	16.5	-0.38	15.8	16.2	-0.45
Michael Sweetney	40	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	10	-14	16.3	16.3	-0.07	15.5	16.5	-0.94
Stephon Marbury	55	56	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	11	-16	16.4	16.1	0.27	15.2	17.4	-2.19
Kurt Thomas	50	50	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.03	-8	14	-22	15.8	17.0	-1.22	15.0	17.4	-2.48

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	16	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-6	6	20.6	15.0	5.58	18.4	15.8	2.59
Robert Traylor	51	52	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.25	9	-15	24	15.6	16.6	-1.02	16.6	15.9	0.77
Eric Snow	38	38	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-8	10	16.9	15.4	1.44	17.3	15.6	1.66
Lucious Harris	5	4	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-2	-2	17.4	16.0	1.44	24.0	16.0	8.05
Sasha Pavlovic	14	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	1	-8	21.2	15.1	6.13	16.7	16.2	0.44
LeBron James	79	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-7	8	15.9	16.9	-0.96	16.0	19.2	-3.23
Ira Newble	80	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-3	0	15.2	23.9	-8.73	16.1	19.0	-2.91
Drew Gooden	55	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	1	-8	15.4	17.1	-1.64	15.9	16.9	-0.94
Jeff McInnis	51	51	-0.49	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	2	-10	15.4	16.9	-1.44	15.6	17.3	-1.66
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	56	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.18	-13	7	-20	15.7	16.5	-0.80	15.9	17.0	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.36,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 93, SAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.02,0,0,0	93.0%
TOR 104, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.01,0	91.7%
PHX 106, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.2,0.07,0.08,0,0,0,0	91.4%