NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	8.4 [220]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +11.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	3.2 [174]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -35.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.05,0.11	-0.02	0.11	-0.02	17	56%	0.16	2	-0.04	14	79%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	72%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	71%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.14	5	-0.23	10	100%	0.06
Antoine Walker	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	20	44%	-0.03	6	-0.17	1	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.05	-0.01	12	68%	0.05	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	56%	0.02	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.09	-0.01	8	67%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	21	51%	0.01	4	-0.18	13	77%	-0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.01	10	32%	-0.25	3	-0.11	5	40%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	35.2	17.3	31.3	2.8	41.3	157.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.2%

BOS +9.4%

BOS +17.5%

PHI -10.2%

BOS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	13.8	14.8	15.5	104.0	98.0	104.0
season	14.4	13.9		104.7	101.1
opponent	15.8	16.0		101.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.0	13.5	15.7	13.3	13.8
PHI	15.8	14.2	16.3	13.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	80	79	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.24	17	-10	27	13.2	16.0	-2.70	14.7	15.6	-0.91
Mark Blount	43	42	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-9	25	13.6	14.0	-0.40	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Marcus Banks	37	38	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.07	10	-3	13	13.6	13.9	-0.34	15.7	14.3	1.35
Paul Pierce	96	95	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	6	-5	13.8	14.0	-0.20	14.8	16.0	-1.21
Al Jefferson	26	26	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	-5	17	14.5	13.6	0.98	17.0	14.1	2.96
Antoine Walker	87	87	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.34	-4	11	-15	14.0	12.9	1.11	14.5	17.0	-2.47
Gary Payton	64	62	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	10	-13	13.9	13.6	0.34	14.3	15.7	-1.35
Raef LaFrentz	46	45	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.34	-10	17	-27	13.3	14.2	-0.89	14.4	15.2	-0.78
Tony Allen	26	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	11	-15	15.6	13.2	2.38	15.7	14.6	1.09

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	37	37	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.20	7	-14	21	15.1	14.7	0.37	14.8	13.2	1.62
John Salmons	5	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-7	7	17.2	14.7	2.47	11.7	13.9	-2.15
Rodney Rogers	15	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	-1	-5	16.2	14.6	1.59	10.4	14.4	-4.01
Chris Webber	74	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.34	6	-13	19	14.1	16.9	-2.75	14.3	12.4	1.97
Willie Green	17	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	0	-7	16.8	14.5	2.31	10.1	14.6	-4.44
Samuel Dalembert	56	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-3	-1	15.1	14.5	0.58	13.8	13.8	0.01
Josh Davis	11	13	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	2	-11	17.9	14.5	3.44	13.6	13.8	-0.23
Kyle Korver	90	91	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-8	9	14.8	15.6	-0.83	14.3	9.1	5.23
Marc Jackson	44	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-6	5	14.5	15.1	-0.63	14.2	13.5	0.70
Allen Iverson	88	89	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	14.5	17.2	-2.73	14.2	11.1	3.10
Aaron McKie	63	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.12	-18	11	-29	14.6	15.3	-0.71	13.1	15.1	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.16,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 78, MIN 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.27,0	90.5%
UTA 99, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.42,0	90.1%
HOU 104, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.4,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.15,0	89.8%