NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	8.7 [176]		MVP	James Jones (IND): +28.4%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	6.3 [141]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -33.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.28	0.11	0.18	0.00	4	110%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Scot Pollard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0	-0.07	0.07	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	62%	0.05
Eddie Gill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01	0.04	-0.06	-0.01	11	63%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Fred Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	5	29%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Foster	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	6	53%	-0.07	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.07
Anthony Johnson	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28	-0.10	-0.19	-0.01	13	33%	-0.15	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.34	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34	-0.15	-0.21	-0.02	11	37%	-0.13	5	-0.21	2	50%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	3	89%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.16,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.06	-0.01	21	58%	0.13	1	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Pape Sow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0.05,0,0,0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	18	45%	0.09	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.03
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.1	-0.10	0.04	-0.14	0.00	12	77%	0.21	5	-0.31	2	0%	-0.04
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	12	37%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.6	31.1	17.0	23.3	2.5	37.2	139.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -35.9%

IND +44.6%

IND +20.2%

IND +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	17.7	15.1	15.5	106.8	102.3	104.0
season	16.8	15.1		101.9	104.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		106.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.6	15.9	19.1	18.1	17.7
TOR	13.2	17.7	13.6	16.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	53	52	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.50	7	-3	10	17.6	17.8	-0.19	15.1	15.1	-0.03
Reggie Miller	53	54	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.39	10	-6	16	17.6	17.8	-0.23	14.6	15.9	-1.28
James Jones	30	30	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.49	6	-2	8	17.5	17.7	-0.19	16.4	14.4	1.97
Anthony Johnson	64	61	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-2	8	17.9	17.1	0.79	14.9	15.5	-0.60
Stephen Jackson	68	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	3	-2	17.9	16.9	0.92	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Scot Pollard	17	18	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	1	2	16.9	17.8	-0.89	18.6	14.2	4.38
Austin Croshere	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	3	-2	17.4	17.8	-0.38	15.1	15.1	0.03
Eddie Gill	24	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	6	-8	17.1	17.9	-0.79	15.5	14.9	0.60
Fred Jones	36	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	7	-10	17.3	17.9	-0.60	15.1	15.1	0.03
Jeff Foster	62	60	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.09	-9	13	-22	18.2	16.5	1.70	14.0	17.3	-3.30

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	28	30	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-5	6	13.2	15.9	-2.67	18.5	17.2	1.33
Lamond Murray	11	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.03	-4	0	-4	14.9	15.1	-0.18	15.5	18.0	-2.50
Pape Sow	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	0	-4	15.3	15.0	0.26	15.5	17.9	-2.44
Matt Bonner	33	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-2	0	16.0	14.5	1.49	17.5	17.7	-0.20
Rafer Alston	83	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-6	8	14.5	24.8	-10.32	17.8	16.3	1.42
Morris Peterson	78	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-4	4	15.0	15.9	-0.94	17.4	19.4	-1.96
Chris Bosh	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-4	4	15.0	15.3	-0.26	17.9	15.5	2.44
Jalen Rose	77	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-4	4	15.1	14.9	0.18	18.0	15.5	2.50
Milt Palacio	42	42	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.33	-13	9	-22	16.9	13.4	3.51	17.4	17.9	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.45,0.4,0.58,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.27,0	92.0%
SAS 90, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.73,0	92.0%
DAL 90, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.84,0	91.8%