inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 97 Excitement3.9 [1061] MVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): +9.4%
Chicago Bulls 110 Comeback1.0 [1273] LVPMilt Palacio (TOR): -8.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Morris Peterson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.08-0.000.011175%0.092-0.022100%0.01
Eric Williams0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.040.01564%0.0500.001100%0.00
Matt Bonner0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.01367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Omar Cook0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Pape Sow0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.031100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Aaron Williams-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rafer Alston-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.010.03871%0.032-0.04887%0.02
Rafael Araujo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Rose-0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.031947%0.003-0.032100%0.01
Chris Bosh-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.001159%0.024-0.077100%0.02
Lamond Murray-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Milt Palacio-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.011029%-0.061-0.0210%-0.02

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.130.010.041669%0.111-0.024100%0.01
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.01-0.02757%0.0700.0000%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.01-0.011060%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.02-0.06944%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.011162%0.041-0.014100%0.02
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.061248%0.043-0.033100%0.01
Eric Piatkowski00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Reiner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.01-0.03533%-0.0010.00250%-0.01
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.011256%0.001-0.02875%-0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.130.00-0.051023%-0.0800.006100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.229.616.423.42.525.5124.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +15.9%
CHI +2.2%
CHI +17.5%
CHI +12.4%
CHI +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHINBATORCHINBA
this game15.016.015.5104.3118.3104.0
season15.115.1104.8100.1
opponent15.415.498.9106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.615.714.514.115.0
CHI15.015.614.918.616.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Williams31320.03-0.530.55-0.3011-243513.215.9-2.6616.215.80.38
Omar Cook550.00-0.500.50-0.186-19257.015.5-8.4523.815.58.28
Pape Sow1110-0.01-0.490.49-0.155-182314.515.1-0.6218.015.72.28
Rafael Araujo1011-0.16-0.340.19-0.13-1-121111.415.4-4.0317.115.81.27
Rafer Alston7272-0.17-0.330.17-0.02-5-8315.812.23.6315.119.0-3.86
Aaron Williams2627-0.23-0.270.040.09-11-2-916.114.61.5514.816.5-1.68
Matt Bonner3938-0.24-0.260.02-0.271-141513.815.8-1.9917.315.12.19
Lamond Murray1111-0.26-0.24-0.030.12-130-1315.514.90.6215.016.1-1.10
Morris Peterson7372-0.32-0.18-0.140.12-152-1715.214.30.8915.318.1-2.81
Milt Palacio3636-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.04-10-3-714.315.5-1.1818.614.34.27
Chris Bosh8382-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.02-11-2-915.411.44.0315.817.1-1.27
Jalen Rose6869-0.46-0.04-0.420.18-229-3115.912.43.5015.118.5-3.36

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Duhon52510.50-0.000.50-0.2325-123715.716.3-0.6215.114.80.30
Othella Harrington50500.410.090.33-0.0215-21715.416.7-1.2715.015.0-0.04
Antonio Davis67680.300.200.11-0.051211115.617.0-1.4316.112.04.05
Tyson Chandler61610.280.220.06-0.071211116.015.90.0914.815.3-0.48
Adrian Griffin42410.260.240.030.29-114-1516.915.21.7514.215.6-1.35
Kirk Hinrich78770.250.250.010.0285315.717.6-1.9515.512.62.87
Andres Nocioni51510.240.26-0.03-0.1714-11515.216.9-1.7515.714.21.48
Ben Gordon31330.180.32-0.150.0649-515.016.4-1.4014.515.3-0.85
Jannero Pargo25250.070.43-0.360.39-1124-3518.715.03.7113.915.4-1.48
Eric Piatkowski440.000.50-0.500.21-720-2722.715.77.096.715.4-8.62
Jared Reiner440.000.50-0.500.18-619-2522.715.77.096.715.4-8.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 85, SAC 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.8%
PHI 87, CHA 1020.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.7%
MIN 89, MEM 1060.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,195.7%