NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	81		Excitement	2.8 [1238]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +14.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.1 [1135]		LVP	Marcus Fizer (MIL): -7.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.05	4	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	52%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Redd	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	20	49%	-0.03	0	0.00	13	85%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Goldwire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Fizer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.22	-0.00	0.07	26	73%	0.21	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	19	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	21	57%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	6	17%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	26.6	15.5	25.2	2.5	23.5	119.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +30.5%

MIL -6.9%

CLE +13.3%

CLE +9.3%

CLE +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	18.8	15.5	95.3	115.3	104.0
season	16.0	16.2		104.4	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.0		103.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.2	15.4	15.3	14.4	15.1
CLE	18.3	15.9	19.7	21.6	18.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reece Gaines	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-13	9	9.5	15.3	-5.77	24.5	18.6	5.89
Erick Strickland	40	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-16	15	15.3	15.0	0.27	20.6	17.0	3.63
Dan Gadzuric	45	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-19	21	15.7	14.5	1.19	18.6	18.9	-0.27
Calvin Booth	31	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-8	-1	14.7	15.4	-0.71	20.8	17.6	3.16
Zaza Pachulia	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-14	11	15.3	14.9	0.33	18.7	18.8	-0.02
Anthony Goldwire	23	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-10	3	15.8	14.9	0.96	18.6	18.8	-0.26
Mo Williams	62	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-7	-3	14.9	15.8	-0.96	18.8	18.6	0.26
Desmond Mason	36	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-6	-5	15.3	15.0	0.26	16.0	20.8	-4.82
Marcus Fizer	31	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-6	-5	15.8	14.8	1.01	16.9	19.8	-2.86
Michael Redd	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	-8	-1	14.8	16.0	-1.25	18.8	18.5	0.32
Toni Kukoc	46	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.20	-22	5	-27	14.8	15.6	-0.80	18.9	18.6	0.34

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	54	53	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.20	26	-9	35	19.0	18.3	0.68	14.8	15.7	-1.00
Drew Gooden	80	79	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.01	17	0	17	18.9	16.8	2.08	15.3	13.3	1.93
LeBron James	83	83	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	4	9	18.6	24.5	-5.89	15.3	9.5	5.77
Jeff McInnis	79	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-1	19	18.4	22.8	-4.39	15.2	14.4	0.78
Anderson Varejao	39	39	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	8	1	19.6	18.0	1.59	14.5	15.7	-1.14
Robert Traylor	51	52	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	9	-1	17.9	20.0	-2.13	15.4	14.7	0.66
Ira Newble	29	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	19	-21	18.3	19.0	-0.62	15.5	14.9	0.59
Lucious Harris	5	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	21	-25	22.8	18.5	4.30	11.2	15.3	-4.07
Sasha Pavlovic	5	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	17	-17	21.6	18.6	3.02	16.7	15.0	1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 77, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
WAS 72, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CLE 90, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%